Jannik Sinner's dominant path through the 2026 Miami Open, including a straight-sets quarterfinal rout of Frances Tiafoe and a 6-3, 7-6(4) semifinal win over Alexander Zverev—extending his head-to-head streak to seven—positions him as the clear trader consensus favorite at 92.5% implied probability for the ATP Masters 1000 title. Fresh off his Indian Wells victory, Sinner eyes the rare Sunshine Double on a hard court that suits his baseline power and serving prowess, while holding a perfect 3-0 Lexus ATP Head2Head record against finalist Jiri Lehecka. Lehecka's surge to his first Masters final via a 6-2, 6-2 thrashing of Arthur Fils gives him 7.2%, but traders see upset potential only through exceptional serving, fatigue on Sinner, or an unforeseen injury/withdrawal before Sunday's showdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
$217,034 Vol.
$217,034 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
93%
Jiri Lehecka
7%
$217,034 Vol.
$217,034 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
93%
Jiri Lehecka
7%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Jannik Sinner's dominant path through the 2026 Miami Open, including a straight-sets quarterfinal rout of Frances Tiafoe and a 6-3, 7-6(4) semifinal win over Alexander Zverev—extending his head-to-head streak to seven—positions him as the clear trader consensus favorite at 92.5% implied probability for the ATP Masters 1000 title. Fresh off his Indian Wells victory, Sinner eyes the rare Sunshine Double on a hard court that suits his baseline power and serving prowess, while holding a perfect 3-0 Lexus ATP Head2Head record against finalist Jiri Lehecka. Lehecka's surge to his first Masters final via a 6-2, 6-2 thrashing of Arthur Fils gives him 7.2%, but traders see upset potential only through exceptional serving, fatigue on Sinner, or an unforeseen injury/withdrawal before Sunday's showdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions