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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 15.4%

England 13.3%

Argentina 11.5%

France 10.8%

Polymarket

$286,289,020 Vol.

Spain 15.4%

England 13.3%

Argentina 11.5%

France 10.8%

Polymarket

$286,289,020 Vol.

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Spain

$3,508,186 Vol.

15%

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England

$2,842,889 Vol.

13%

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Argentina

$3,654,807 Vol.

11%

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France

$3,022,450 Vol.

11%

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Brazil

$3,412,984 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$6,715,065 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$5,081,664 Vol.

5%

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Norway

$6,158,662 Vol.

3%

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Netherlands

$5,969,359 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$4,907,149 Vol.

2%

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Colombia

$4,773,374 Vol.

2%

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Belgium

$5,283,382 Vol.

2%

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USA

$3,404,001 Vol.

2%

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Japan

$6,181,271 Vol.

2%

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Morocco

$5,312,203 Vol.

2%

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Mexico

$5,487,171 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$5,660,485 Vol.

1%

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Uruguay

$4,291,755 Vol.

1%

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Ecuador

$5,309,822 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$6,787,956 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$6,586,932 Vol.

1%

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South Korea

$7,433,619 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$6,856,273 Vol.

1%

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Canada

$8,745,163 Vol.

<1%

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Scotland

$7,540,278 Vol.

<1%

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Ivory Coast

$5,483,880 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$8,490,907 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$6,238,980 Vol.

<1%

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Egypt

$6,883,026 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$4,923,944 Vol.

<1%

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Algeria

$5,116,219 Vol.

<1%

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South Africa

$15,324,228 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$7,809,232 Vol.

<1%

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New Zealand

$11,601,087 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$7,106,589 Vol.

<1%

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Jordan

$11,113,182 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$9,668,134 Vol.

<1%

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Iran

$7,011,293 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisia

$5,115,406 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbekistan

$22,964,684 Vol.

<1%

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Cape Verde

$5,462,379 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$10,784,359 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$286,289,020
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 15%, followed by "England" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " has generated $286.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " is "Spain" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "England" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.