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Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner

Daniel Berger 43.1%

Collin Morikawa 10.5%

Ludvig Aberg 9.0%

Matt McCarty 7.8%

Polymarket

$125,998 Vol.

Daniel Berger 43.1%

Collin Morikawa 10.5%

Ludvig Aberg 9.0%

Matt McCarty 7.8%

Polymarket

$125,998 Vol.

Daniel Berger

$8,491 Vol.

43%

Collin Morikawa

$10,783 Vol.

11%

Ludvig Aberg

$6,062 Vol.

9%

Matt McCarty

$432 Vol.

8%

Akshay Bhatia

$2,118 Vol.

6%

Scottie Scheffler

$4,068 Vol.

6%

Rory McIlroy

$6,004 Vol.

5%

Sahith Theegala

$2,246 Vol.

4%

Rickie Fowler

$3,444 Vol.

4%

Xander Schauffele

$2,888 Vol.

3%

Russell Henley

$1,266 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$659 Vol.

2%

Chris Gotterup

$2,080 Vol.

1%

Daniel Bennett

$920 Vol.

1%

Lucas Glover

$580 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$880 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$533 Vol.

1%

Michael Kim

$627 Vol.

1%

Chris Kirk

$532 Vol.

1%

Andrew Putnam

$532 Vol.

1%

Patrick Rodgers

$867 Vol.

1%

Nicolas Echavarria

$997 Vol.

1%

Keith Mitchell

$1,452 Vol.

1%

Taylor Moore

$517 Vol.

1%

Max Greyserman

$417 Vol.

1%

Andrew Novak

$532 Vol.

1%

Taylor Pendrith

$546 Vol.

1%

Austin Smotherman

$410 Vol.

1%

Alexander Noren

$617 Vol.

1%

Harris English

$1,824 Vol.

1%

Ryan Fox

$0 Vol.

1%

Kurt Kitayama

$6,127 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$3,437 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,354 Vol.

1%

Jordan Spieth

$0 Vol.

1%

Jacob Bridgeman

$596 Vol.

1%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

1%

Harry Hall

$0 Vol.

1%

Ryo Hisatsune

$0 Vol.

1%

Billy Horschel

$2,495 Vol.

1%

Viktor Hovland

$1,579 Vol.

1%

Nick Taylor

$712 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$537 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

1%

Michael Thorbjornsen

$0 Vol.

1%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

1%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$3,002 Vol.

1%

Cameron Young

$1,554 Vol.

<1%

Jhonattan Vegas

$10,820 Vol.

<1%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Roy

$425 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$125,998
End Date
Mar 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

Market icon

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

84%
Market icon

Will Daniel Berger finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

91%
Market icon

Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

94%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 76+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Daniel Berger" at 43%, followed by "Collin Morikawa" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" has generated $126K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner," browse the 76+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" is "Daniel Berger" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Collin Morikawa" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.