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Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Collin Morikawa 13.9%

Daniel Berger 12.3%

Ludvig Aberg 11.9%

Polymarket

$83,025 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Collin Morikawa 13.9%

Daniel Berger 12.3%

Ludvig Aberg 11.9%

Polymarket

$83,025 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$1,918 Vol.

15%

Collin Morikawa

$6,413 Vol.

14%

Daniel Berger

$1,585 Vol.

12%

Ludvig Aberg

$2,011 Vol.

12%

Cameron Young

$37 Vol.

7%

Denny McCarthy

$121 Vol.

6%

Xander Schauffele

$1,895 Vol.

5%

JT Poston

$0 Vol.

5%

Kevin Roy

$220 Vol.

5%

Maverick McNealy

$37 Vol.

4%

Rory McIlroy

$3,914 Vol.

3%

Kurt Kitayama

$3,956 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$38 Vol.

3%

Adam Scott

$142 Vol.

3%

Chris Gotterup

$1,508 Vol.

3%

Harris English

$37 Vol.

3%

Min Woo Lee

$1,705 Vol.

2%

Hideki Matsuyama

$332 Vol.

2%

Rickie Fowler

$487 Vol.

2%

Ryan Fox

$284 Vol.

2%

Russell Henley

$38 Vol.

1%

Keith Mitchell

$347 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$1,687 Vol.

1%

Si Woo Kim

$37 Vol.

1%

Pierceson Coody

$128 Vol.

1%

Sung-Jae Im

$242 Vol.

1%

Aldrich Potgieter

$220 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$153 Vol.

1%

Justin Rose

$37 Vol.

1%

Akshay Bhatia

$729 Vol.

1%

Billy Horschel

$1,094 Vol.

1%

Jhonattan Vegas

$9,776 Vol.

1%

Bud Cauley

$184 Vol.

1%

Ryan Gerard

$19,838 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$426 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$128 Vol.

1%

Viktor Hovland

$1,374 Vol.

1%

Chris Kirk

$121 Vol.

1%

Andrew Putnam

$121 Vol.

1%

Andrew Novak

$121 Vol.

1%

Taylor Pendrith

$135 Vol.

1%

Jordan Spieth

$184 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$128 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$37 Vol.

1%

Jacob Bridgeman

$205 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$37 Vol.

1%

Brian Campbell

$184 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$37 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$634 Vol.

1%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$1,329 Vol.

1%

Tommy Fleetwood

$1,997 Vol.

1%

Lucas Glover

$184 Vol.

1%

Ben Griffin

$37 Vol.

1%

Harry Hall

$134 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$384 Vol.

1%

Ryo Hisatsune

$124 Vol.

1%

Tom Hoge

$374 Vol.

1%

Michael Kim

$131 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$465 Vol.

1%

Patrick Rodgers

$371 Vol.

1%

Nick Taylor

$121 Vol.

1%

Joel Dahmen

$364 Vol.

1%

Nicolas Echavarria

$702 Vol.

1%

Taylor Moore

$121 Vol.

1%

Max Greyserman

$121 Vol.

1%

Alexander Noren

$121 Vol.

1%

Sam Stevens

$121 Vol.

1%

Austin Smotherman

$114 Vol.

1%

Michael Thorbjornsen

$111 Vol.

1%

Daniel Bennett

$524 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$872 Vol.

<1%

Stephan Jaeger

$223 Vol.

<1%

Hao-Tong Li

$114 Vol.

9%

Matt McCarty

$227 Vol.

<1%

J.J. Spaun

$42 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$83,025
End Date
Mar 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

Market icon

Will Daniel Berger finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

82%
Market icon

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

66%
Market icon

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

88%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 76+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Collin Morikawa" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" has generated $83K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner," browse the 76+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Collin Morikawa" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.