Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by fresh supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun ahead of a targeted September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series. Bloomberg sources indicate the book-style device remains on track despite past delays, bolstered by leaked dummy models revealing a nearly crease-free 7.8-inch inner display and premium hinge design. Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's pricing estimates around $2,000-$2,500 underscore its positioning as a high-end hardware innovation. While engineering snags pose minor risks, historical Apple launch patterns and competitive pressure from Samsung foldables support this strong sentiment, with a fall event as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$126,080 Vol.
$126,080 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$126,080 Vol.
$126,080 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by fresh supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun ahead of a targeted September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series. Bloomberg sources indicate the book-style device remains on track despite past delays, bolstered by leaked dummy models revealing a nearly crease-free 7.8-inch inner display and premium hinge design. Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's pricing estimates around $2,000-$2,500 underscore its positioning as a high-end hardware innovation. While engineering snags pose minor risks, historical Apple launch patterns and competitive pressure from Samsung foldables support this strong sentiment, with a fall event as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$126,080Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by fresh supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun ahead of a targeted September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series. Bloomberg sources indicate the book-style device remains on track despite past delays, bolstered by leaked dummy models revealing a nearly crease-free 7.8-inch inner display and premium hinge design. Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's pricing estimates around $2,000-$2,500 underscore its positioning as a high-end hardware innovation. While engineering snags pose minor risks, historical Apple launch patterns and competitive pressure from Samsung foldables support this strong sentiment, with a fall event as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$126,080Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by fresh supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun ahead of a targeted September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series. Bloomberg sources indicate the book-style device remains on track despite past delays, bolstered by leaked dummy models revealing a nearly crease-free 7.8-inch inner display and premium hinge design. Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's pricing estimates around $2,000-$2,500 underscore its positioning as a high-end hardware innovation. While engineering snags pose minor risks, historical Apple launch patterns and competitive pressure from Samsung foldables support this strong sentiment, with a fall event as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes