Trader consensus favors Paramount at 71% implied probability to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming assets, driven by the February 27 definitive $111 billion merger agreement after Netflix withdrew its bid and the board deemed Paramount's $31-per-share cash offer superior. Recent catalysts include proxy advisors ISS and Glass Lewis recommending shareholder approval ahead of the April 23 special meeting, plus $24 billion in equity financing from Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds secured April 6. The "None by June 30, 2027" outcome at 20.5% reflects antitrust scrutiny from DOJ/FTC, UK CMA (review launched April 13), and others, alongside Hollywood opposition from over 2,000 industry figures citing job losses and reduced competition. Netflix and Comcast trail at under 2% each, having exited the bidding war.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoParamount 70%
Ninguna antes del 30 de junio de 2027 21%
Netflix 1.6%
Comcast 1.4%
$1,027,216 Vol.
$1,027,216 Vol.
Paramount
70%
Ninguna antes del 30 de junio de 2027
21%
Netflix
2%
Comcast
1%
Paramount 70%
Ninguna antes del 30 de junio de 2027 21%
Netflix 1.6%
Comcast 1.4%
$1,027,216 Vol.
$1,027,216 Vol.
Paramount
70%
Ninguna antes del 30 de junio de 2027
21%
Netflix
2%
Comcast
1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Paramount at 71% implied probability to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming assets, driven by the February 27 definitive $111 billion merger agreement after Netflix withdrew its bid and the board deemed Paramount's $31-per-share cash offer superior. Recent catalysts include proxy advisors ISS and Glass Lewis recommending shareholder approval ahead of the April 23 special meeting, plus $24 billion in equity financing from Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds secured April 6. The "None by June 30, 2027" outcome at 20.5% reflects antitrust scrutiny from DOJ/FTC, UK CMA (review launched April 13), and others, alongside Hollywood opposition from over 2,000 industry figures citing job losses and reduced competition. Netflix and Comcast trail at under 2% each, having exited the bidding war.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes