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Política·Dinamarca

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Market icon
Política·Dinamarca

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

$17,923 Vol.

Mar 24, 2026
Polymarket

$17,923 Vol.

Polymarket

Social Democrats

$1,886 Vol.

98%

Moderates

$1,142 Vol.

97%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$0 Vol.

78%

Green Left

$688 Vol.

77%

Venstre

$0 Vol.

48%

Denmark Democrats

$135 Vol.

25%

Liberal Alliance

$0 Vol.

13%

The Alternative

$2,967 Vol.

5%

Red–Green Alliance

$832 Vol.

16%

Danish People’s Party

$380 Vol.

4%

Naleraq

$0 Vol.

2%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$0 Vol.

1%

Citizens’ Party

$3,066 Vol.

1%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$415 Vol.

1%

Union Party

$6,332 Vol.

<1%

Conservative People’s Party

$80 Vol.

40%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, yielded a fragmented Folketing, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats securing 38 seats as the largest party but suffering their worst result since 1903, leaving the red bloc at 86 seats and blue bloc at 78—both short of the 90 needed for majority. Frederiksen, appointed formateur by King Frederik X, began coalition talks on March 27 with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), eyeing centrist Moderates (14 seats, led by Lars Løkke Rasmussen) as kingmakers amid disputes over wealth taxes, pesticides, and farming policy. Venstre has ruled out partnering with Social Democrats; negotiations may extend weeks, as in 2022, with no bloc-dominant outcome assured.

Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, yielded a fragmented Folketing, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats securing 38 seats as the largest party but suffering their worst result since 1903, leaving the red bloc at 86 seats and blue bloc at 78—both short of the 90 needed for majority. Frederiksen, appointed formateur by King Frederik X, began coalition talks on March 27 with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), eyeing centrist Moderates (14 seats, led by Lars Løkke Rasmussen) as kingmakers amid disputes over wealth taxes, pesticides, and farming policy. Venstre has ruled out partnering with Social Democrats; negotiations may extend weeks, as in 2022, with no bloc-dominant outcome assured.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, yielded a fragmented Folketing, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats securing 38 seats as the largest party but suffering their worst result since 1903, leaving the red bloc at 86 seats and blue bloc at 78—both short of the 90 needed for majority. Frederiksen, appointed formateur by King Frederik X, began coalition talks on March 27 with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), eyeing centrist Moderates (14 seats, led by Lars Løkke Rasmussen) as kingmakers amid disputes over wealth taxes, pesticides, and farming policy. Venstre has ruled out partnering with Social Democrats; negotiations may extend weeks, as in 2022, with no bloc-dominant outcome assured.

Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, yielded a fragmented Folketing, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats securing 38 seats as the largest party but suffering their worst result since 1903, leaving the red bloc at 86 seats and blue bloc at 78—both short of the 90 needed for majority. Frederiksen, appointed formateur by King Frederik X, began coalition talks on March 27 with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), eyeing centrist Moderates (14 seats, led by Lars Løkke Rasmussen) as kingmakers amid disputes over wealth taxes, pesticides, and farming policy. Venstre has ruled out partnering with Social Democrats; negotiations may extend weeks, as in 2022, with no bloc-dominant outcome assured.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Social Democrats" con 98%, seguido de "Moderates" con 97%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" ha generado $17.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" es "Social Democrats" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Moderates" con 97%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.