OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoOpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Vol.
$1,351,043 Vol.
31 mar 2026
No
OpenAI
Sí
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Mistral
No
Anthropic
No
Alibaba
No
xAI
No
Moonshot
No
OpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Vol.
$1,351,043 Vol.
31 mar 2026
$124,134 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$193,398 Vol.
Sí
Z.ai
$125,315 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$217,171 Vol.
No
Mistral
$161,221 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$210,114 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$79,517 Vol.
No
xAI
$149,261 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$90,912 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
Volumen
$1,351,043Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$1,351,043Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes