Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 75.5% implied probability to March silver futures (SI) settling below $75 per ounce, anchored by current contract pricing near $31 amid a recent pullback from $32.50 multi-month highs hit last week. Profit-taking and a firmer U.S. dollar—bolstered by resilient economic data—have pressured spot prices to $30.90 yesterday, offsetting bullish industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics, which drove 25% year-to-date gains. The 15.8% odds for $75-$80 reflect tail-end optimism on further Federal Reserve rate cuts easing dollar strength. Watch December 11 CPI release and December 18 FOMC meeting for shifts in monetary policy expectations impacting precious metals pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿En qué se asentará Silver (SI) en marzo?
¿En qué se asentará Silver (SI) en marzo?
< $75 75%
$75-$80 16.0%
$80-$85 3.8%
$85-$90 1.9%
$251,902 Vol.
$251,902 Vol.
< $75
75%
$75-$80
16%
$80-$85
4%
$85-$90
2%
$90-$95
1%
$95-$100
1%
$100-$105
1%
$105-$110
1%
$110-$115
<1%
>$115
<1%
< $75 75%
$75-$80 16.0%
$80-$85 3.8%
$85-$90 1.9%
$251,902 Vol.
$251,902 Vol.
< $75
75%
$75-$80
16%
$80-$85
4%
$85-$90
2%
$90-$95
1%
$95-$100
1%
$100-$105
1%
$105-$110
1%
$110-$115
<1%
>$115
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 75.5% implied probability to March silver futures (SI) settling below $75 per ounce, anchored by current contract pricing near $31 amid a recent pullback from $32.50 multi-month highs hit last week. Profit-taking and a firmer U.S. dollar—bolstered by resilient economic data—have pressured spot prices to $30.90 yesterday, offsetting bullish industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics, which drove 25% year-to-date gains. The 15.8% odds for $75-$80 reflect tail-end optimism on further Federal Reserve rate cuts easing dollar strength. Watch December 11 CPI release and December 18 FOMC meeting for shifts in monetary policy expectations impacting precious metals pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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