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Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

20°C 80%

19°C 40%

21°C 27%

22°C 10%

Polymarket
NEW

20°C 80%

19°C 40%

21°C 27%

22°C 10%

Polymarket
NEW

16°C or below

$264 Vol.

9%

17°C

$196 Vol.

8%

18°C

$81 Vol.

9%

19°C

$22 Vol.

40%

20°C

$121 Vol.

59%

21°C

$17 Vol.

27%

22°C

$47 Vol.

10%

23°C

$41 Vol.

9%

24°C

$48 Vol.

3%

25°C

$42 Vol.

3%

26°C or higher

$140 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters around 19–21°C for Mexico City's highest temperature on March 30, driven by the lingering effects of Cold Front 42, as reported by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This polar air mass has boosted cloudiness, moderate rain chances (up to 90% per some models), and gusty winds, capping diurnal heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where late-March historical highs average 24–26°C. SMN-aligned forecasts project a 19°C peak amid showers, while AccuWeather models show partial clearing to 21°C; the 59.5% implied probability for 20°C captures this model divergence and real-time observations. Afternoon updates from SMN and hourly data will clarify if precipitation prevents exceeding 20°C before daily resolution.

Trader sentiment clusters around 19–21°C for Mexico City's highest temperature on March 30, driven by the lingering effects of Cold Front 42, as reported by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This polar air mass has boosted cloudiness, moderate rain chances (up to 90% per some models), and gusty winds, capping diurnal heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where late-March historical highs average 24–26°C. SMN-aligned forecasts project a 19°C peak amid showers, while AccuWeather models show partial clearing to 21°C; the 59.5% implied probability for 20°C captures this model divergence and real-time observations. Afternoon updates from SMN and hourly data will clarify if precipitation prevents exceeding 20°C before daily resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters around 19–21°C for Mexico City's highest temperature on March 30, driven by the lingering effects of Cold Front 42, as reported by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This polar air mass has boosted cloudiness, moderate rain chances (up to 90% per some models), and gusty winds, capping diurnal heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where late-March historical highs average 24–26°C. SMN-aligned forecasts project a 19°C peak amid showers, while AccuWeather models show partial clearing to 21°C; the 59.5% implied probability for 20°C captures this model divergence and real-time observations. Afternoon updates from SMN and hourly data will clarify if precipitation prevents exceeding 20°C before daily resolution.

Trader sentiment clusters around 19–21°C for Mexico City's highest temperature on March 30, driven by the lingering effects of Cold Front 42, as reported by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This polar air mass has boosted cloudiness, moderate rain chances (up to 90% per some models), and gusty winds, capping diurnal heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where late-March historical highs average 24–26°C. SMN-aligned forecasts project a 19°C peak amid showers, while AccuWeather models show partial clearing to 21°C; the 59.5% implied probability for 20°C captures this model divergence and real-time observations. Afternoon updates from SMN and hourly data will clarify if precipitation prevents exceeding 20°C before daily resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20°C" con 59%, seguido de "19°C" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?" es "20°C" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "19°C" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Mexico City on March 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.