Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, with implied odds favoring cooler outcomes below 25°C amid recent northerly winds and cloud cover suppressing highs to 21–23°C in the past week, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Historical early April averages hover around 25–26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, but current GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread of ±3°C due to variable upper-level troughing and potential convective showers, differentiating outcomes like 23°C from 26–27°C. Watch SMN daily bulletins and model updates through April 1 for resolution shifts as land-based observations refine guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
26°C 25%
27°C 22%
21°C or below 22%
25°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
21°C or below
22%
22°C
17%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
21%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
20%
26°C 25%
27°C 22%
21°C or below 22%
25°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$5 Vol.
17%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, with implied odds favoring cooler outcomes below 25°C amid recent northerly winds and cloud cover suppressing highs to 21–23°C in the past week, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Historical early April averages hover around 25–26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, but current GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread of ±3°C due to variable upper-level troughing and potential convective showers, differentiating outcomes like 23°C from 26–27°C. Watch SMN daily bulletins and model updates through April 1 for resolution shifts as land-based observations refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volumen
$10Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, with implied odds favoring cooler outcomes below 25°C amid recent northerly winds and cloud cover suppressing highs to 21–23°C in the past week, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Historical early April averages hover around 25–26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, but current GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread of ±3°C due to variable upper-level troughing and potential convective showers, differentiating outcomes like 23°C from 26–27°C. Watch SMN daily bulletins and model updates through April 1 for resolution shifts as land-based observations refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, with implied odds favoring cooler outcomes below 25°C amid recent northerly winds and cloud cover suppressing highs to 21–23°C in the past week, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Historical early April averages hover around 25–26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, but current GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread of ±3°C due to variable upper-level troughing and potential convective showers, differentiating outcomes like 23°C from 26–27°C. Watch SMN daily bulletins and model updates through April 1 for resolution shifts as land-based observations refine guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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