Republican incumbent Rick Scott holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 87% probability of victory, driven by consistent double-digit advantages in recent polls like Emerson College's October survey showing him ahead 52%-42%. Florida's rightward electoral shift since 2016, marked by strong Republican performance in gubernatorial and presidential races, bolsters this positioning, alongside superior GOP early voting turnout and fundraising edges. Democrat challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell has narrowed gaps slightly through targeted advertising in battleground areas, but no major catalysts have emerged in the past week to alter the trajectory ahead of the November 5 election. Incumbency and the state's 30-electoral-vote Republican tilt sustain the wide market spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$18,501 Vol.
$18,501 Vol.
Republicano
87%
Demócrata
14%
$18,501 Vol.
$18,501 Vol.
Republicano
$10,201 Vol.
87%
Demócrata
$8,299 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Rick Scott holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 87% probability of victory, driven by consistent double-digit advantages in recent polls like Emerson College's October survey showing him ahead 52%-42%. Florida's rightward electoral shift since 2016, marked by strong Republican performance in gubernatorial and presidential races, bolsters this positioning, alongside superior GOP early voting turnout and fundraising edges. Democrat challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell has narrowed gaps slightly through targeted advertising in battleground areas, but no major catalysts have emerged in the past week to alter the trajectory ahead of the November 5 election. Incumbency and the state's 30-electoral-vote Republican tilt sustain the wide market spread.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$18,501Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Rick Scott holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 87% probability of victory, driven by consistent double-digit advantages in recent polls like Emerson College's October survey showing him ahead 52%-42%. Florida's rightward electoral shift since 2016, marked by strong Republican performance in gubernatorial and presidential races, bolsters this positioning, alongside superior GOP early voting turnout and fundraising edges. Democrat challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell has narrowed gaps slightly through targeted advertising in battleground areas, but no major catalysts have emerged in the past week to alter the trajectory ahead of the November 5 election. Incumbency and the state's 30-electoral-vote Republican tilt sustain the wide market spread.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$18,501Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Rick Scott holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 87% probability of victory, driven by consistent double-digit advantages in recent polls like Emerson College's October survey showing him ahead 52%-42%. Florida's rightward electoral shift since 2016, marked by strong Republican performance in gubernatorial and presidential races, bolsters this positioning, alongside superior GOP early voting turnout and fundraising edges. Democrat challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell has narrowed gaps slightly through targeted advertising in battleground areas, but no major catalysts have emerged in the past week to alter the trajectory ahead of the November 5 election. Incumbency and the state's 30-electoral-vote Republican tilt sustain the wide market spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes