Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a strong position in Florida’s 2026 special Senate election, consistent with the market’s heavy Republican tilt. Recent polls show her leading prospective Democratic opponents by 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting Florida’s established Republican lean and Moody’s incumbency advantages ahead of the August 18 primaries. Democratic candidates, including Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon, remain in a competitive primary with limited crossover appeal in statewide surveys. No major late developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the outcome driven primarily by partisan baseline and polling margins rather than shifting events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$64,257 Vol.
$64,257 Vol.
Republicano
90%
Demócrata
11%
$64,257 Vol.
$64,257 Vol.
Republicano
$36,652 Vol.
90%
Demócrata
$27,605 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a strong position in Florida’s 2026 special Senate election, consistent with the market’s heavy Republican tilt. Recent polls show her leading prospective Democratic opponents by 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting Florida’s established Republican lean and Moody’s incumbency advantages ahead of the August 18 primaries. Democratic candidates, including Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon, remain in a competitive primary with limited crossover appeal in statewide surveys. No major late developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the outcome driven primarily by partisan baseline and polling margins rather than shifting events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$64,257Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a strong position in Florida’s 2026 special Senate election, consistent with the market’s heavy Republican tilt. Recent polls show her leading prospective Democratic opponents by 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting Florida’s established Republican lean and Moody’s incumbency advantages ahead of the August 18 primaries. Democratic candidates, including Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon, remain in a competitive primary with limited crossover appeal in statewide surveys. No major late developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the outcome driven primarily by partisan baseline and polling margins rather than shifting events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$64,257Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a strong position in Florida’s 2026 special Senate election, consistent with the market’s heavy Republican tilt. Recent polls show her leading prospective Democratic opponents by 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting Florida’s established Republican lean and Moody’s incumbency advantages ahead of the August 18 primaries. Democratic candidates, including Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon, remain in a competitive primary with limited crossover appeal in statewide surveys. No major late developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the outcome driven primarily by partisan baseline and polling margins rather than shifting events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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