South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains structurally Republican, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and consistent ratings as a solid or safe seat for the party across major forecasters. Incumbent William Timmons faces a June 9 Republican primary against challengers David Atchley and Robert Lee but enters the general election matchup against Democrat Courtney McClain with no significant opposition or polling shifts reported in recent weeks. The absence of competitive Democratic recruitment or external events altering the district's partisan balance supports the current trader consensus on Republican retention through the November 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSC-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
SC-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,490 Vol.
$12,490 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
11%
$12,490 Vol.
$12,490 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,219 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$2,271 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains structurally Republican, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and consistent ratings as a solid or safe seat for the party across major forecasters. Incumbent William Timmons faces a June 9 Republican primary against challengers David Atchley and Robert Lee but enters the general election matchup against Democrat Courtney McClain with no significant opposition or polling shifts reported in recent weeks. The absence of competitive Democratic recruitment or external events altering the district's partisan balance supports the current trader consensus on Republican retention through the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$12,490Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains structurally Republican, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and consistent ratings as a solid or safe seat for the party across major forecasters. Incumbent William Timmons faces a June 9 Republican primary against challengers David Atchley and Robert Lee but enters the general election matchup against Democrat Courtney McClain with no significant opposition or polling shifts reported in recent weeks. The absence of competitive Democratic recruitment or external events altering the district's partisan balance supports the current trader consensus on Republican retention through the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,490Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains structurally Republican, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and consistent ratings as a solid or safe seat for the party across major forecasters. Incumbent William Timmons faces a June 9 Republican primary against challengers David Atchley and Robert Lee but enters the general election matchup against Democrat Courtney McClain with no significant opposition or polling shifts reported in recent weeks. The absence of competitive Democratic recruitment or external events altering the district's partisan balance supports the current trader consensus on Republican retention through the November 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes