Ohio's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and encompasses rural Appalachian areas and parts of the Mahoning Valley, creating a structural advantage for Republican candidates. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the Republican nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, historical margins, and the absence of competitive challengers. A major national political shift or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could alter dynamics, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-06
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-06
$22,410 Vol.
$22,410 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$22,410 Vol.
$22,410 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,585 Vol.
91%
Partido Demócrata
$10,826 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and encompasses rural Appalachian areas and parts of the Mahoning Valley, creating a structural advantage for Republican candidates. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the Republican nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, historical margins, and the absence of competitive challengers. A major national political shift or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could alter dynamics, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$22,410Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and encompasses rural Appalachian areas and parts of the Mahoning Valley, creating a structural advantage for Republican candidates. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the Republican nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, historical margins, and the absence of competitive challengers. A major national political shift or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could alter dynamics, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,410Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and encompasses rural Appalachian areas and parts of the Mahoning Valley, creating a structural advantage for Republican candidates. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the Republican nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with over 76 percent of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, historical margins, and the absence of competitive challengers. A major national political shift or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could alter dynamics, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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