Republican incumbent Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with over 76% of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced from a fragmented field to face him in the November general election. Forecasters rate the redrawn Ohio 6th as solidly or safely Republican due to its consistent partisan lean exceeding R+15, the structural advantages of incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. These factors have anchored trader consensus on a Republican outcome near 86%, with no recent polling, endorsements, or legislative developments indicating meaningful shifts in the race dynamics ahead of the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-06
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-06
$22,339 Vol.
$22,339 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
9%
$22,339 Vol.
$22,339 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,514 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$10,826 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with over 76% of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced from a fragmented field to face him in the November general election. Forecasters rate the redrawn Ohio 6th as solidly or safely Republican due to its consistent partisan lean exceeding R+15, the structural advantages of incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. These factors have anchored trader consensus on a Republican outcome near 86%, with no recent polling, endorsements, or legislative developments indicating meaningful shifts in the race dynamics ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$22,339Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with over 76% of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced from a fragmented field to face him in the November general election. Forecasters rate the redrawn Ohio 6th as solidly or safely Republican due to its consistent partisan lean exceeding R+15, the structural advantages of incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. These factors have anchored trader consensus on a Republican outcome near 86%, with no recent polling, endorsements, or legislative developments indicating meaningful shifts in the race dynamics ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,339Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Michael Rulli secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with over 76% of the vote, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced from a fragmented field to face him in the November general election. Forecasters rate the redrawn Ohio 6th as solidly or safely Republican due to its consistent partisan lean exceeding R+15, the structural advantages of incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. These factors have anchored trader consensus on a Republican outcome near 86%, with no recent polling, endorsements, or legislative developments indicating meaningful shifts in the race dynamics ahead of the fall campaign.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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