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Wird Venezuela den USA bis zum 31. Januar Öl liefern?

Market icon

Wird Venezuela den USA bis zum 31. Januar Öl liefern?

Ja

>99% chance
Polymarket

$598,714 Vol.

Ja

>99% chance
Polymarket

$598,714 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government.

An official announcement or agreement will qualify.

Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer.

The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify.

US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count.

Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$598,714
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Umstritten

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government.

An official announcement or agreement will qualify.

Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer.

The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify.

US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count.

Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$598,714
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Umstritten

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Venezuela den USA bis zum 31. Januar Öl liefern?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird Venezuela den USA bis zum 31. Januar Öl liefern?" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wird Venezuela den USA bis zum 31. Januar Öl liefern?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $598.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wird Venezuela den USA bis zum 31. Januar Öl liefern?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird Venezuela den USA bis zum 31. Januar Öl liefern?" ist „Wird Venezuela den USA bis zum 31. Januar Öl liefern?" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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