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Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?

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Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$173,029 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$173,029 Vol.

On August 6, 2025, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order sanctioning India through secondary tariffs for its continued purchase of Russian Federation oil. More information can be found here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/08/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-addresses-threats-to-the-united-states-by-the-government-of-the-russian-federation/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 6 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify.

Sanctions in the form of secondary tariffs (i.e., tariffs targeting third-party countries or entities for continuing to trade with Russia) will qualify.

The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$173,029
Enddatum
Aug 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2025, 12:06 PM ET
On August 6, 2025, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order sanctioning India through secondary tariffs for its continued purchase of Russian Federation oil. More information can be found here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/08/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-addresses-threats-to-the-united-states-by-the-government-of-the-russian-federation/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 6 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. Sanctions in the form of secondary tariffs (i.e., tariffs targeting third-party countries or entities for continuing to trade with Russia) will qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

On August 6, 2025, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order sanctioning India through secondary tariffs for its continued purchase of Russian Federation oil. More information can be found here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/08/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-addresses-threats-to-the-united-states-by-the-government-of-the-russian-federation/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 6 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify.

Sanctions in the form of secondary tariffs (i.e., tariffs targeting third-party countries or entities for continuing to trade with Russia) will qualify.

The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$173,029
Enddatum
Aug 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2025, 12:06 PM ET
On August 6, 2025, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order sanctioning India through secondary tariffs for its continued purchase of Russian Federation oil. More information can be found here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/08/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-addresses-threats-to-the-united-states-by-the-government-of-the-russian-federation/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 6 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. Sanctions in the form of secondary tariffs (i.e., tariffs targeting third-party countries or entities for continuing to trade with Russia) will qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?" has generated $173K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.