U.S. airstrikes on March 14 targeted over 90 Iranian military sites on Kharg Island—home to the country's primary oil export terminal handling 90% of crude shipments—but explicitly spared oil infrastructure, allowing exports to continue uninterrupted despite initial explosions and Iranian claims of no damage. President Trump warned of additional strikes should Iran fail to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, amid heightened Persian Gulf tensions and Tehran's vows of retaliation, including potential proxy actions via Houthis. No verified kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself since late February, with satellite-detected thermal anomalies in recent days unconfirmed; traders eye escalation risks through the March 31 deadline, including possible Israeli or further U.S. military actions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$683,735 Vol.

31. März
7%

30. April
31%
$683,735 Vol.

31. März
7%

30. April
31%
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. airstrikes on March 14 targeted over 90 Iranian military sites on Kharg Island—home to the country's primary oil export terminal handling 90% of crude shipments—but explicitly spared oil infrastructure, allowing exports to continue uninterrupted despite initial explosions and Iranian claims of no damage. President Trump warned of additional strikes should Iran fail to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, amid heightened Persian Gulf tensions and Tehran's vows of retaliation, including potential proxy actions via Houthis. No verified kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself since late February, with satellite-detected thermal anomalies in recent days unconfirmed; traders eye escalation risks through the March 31 deadline, including possible Israeli or further U.S. military actions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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