Market icon

Gewinnt Seguro Portugals Übersee-Abstimmung?

Market icon

Gewinnt Seguro Portugals Übersee-Abstimmung?

Ended: Feb 8

Ended: Feb 8

Ja

<1% chance
Polymarket

$245,906 Vol.

Ja

<1% chance
Polymarket

$245,906 Vol.

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).
Volumen
$245,906
Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).
Volumen
$245,906
Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes cast by Portuguese voters abroad in the second round of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tie for the highest number of valid votes will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Gewinnt Seguro Portugals Übersee-Abstimmung?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wird Seguro die Überseewahl in Portugal gewinnen?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gewinnt Seguro Portugals Übersee-Abstimmung?" has generated $245.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gewinnt Seguro Portugals Übersee-Abstimmung?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Gewinnt Seguro Portugals Übersee-Abstimmung?" is "Wird Seguro die Überseewahl in Portugal gewinnen?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Gewinnt Seguro Portugals Übersee-Abstimmung?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.