Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$78,279 Vol.
$78,279 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) estimates that the 2024 YR4 asteroid has a 3% or greater chance of hitting Earth at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be information from NASA, specifically the Center for Near Earth Object Studies chart for Impact Risk Data, available here: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/.
Look for "(2024 YR4)" under "Object Designation", and check the figure under "Impact Probability (Cumulative)" to find the information that will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) estimates that the 2024 YR4 asteroid has a 3% or greater chance of hitting Earth at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be information from NASA, specifically the Center for Near Earth Object Studies chart for Impact Risk Data, available here: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/.
Look for "(2024 YR4)" under "Object Designation", and check the figure under "Impact Probability (Cumulative)" to find the information that will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NASA, specifically the Center for Near Earth Object Studies chart for Impact Risk Data, available here: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/.
Look for "(2024 YR4)" under "Object Designation", and check the figure under "Impact Probability (Cumulative)" to find the information that will be used to resolve this market.
Erstellt am: Feb 6, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
Volumen
$78,279Enddatum
Jun 30, 2025Erstellt am
Feb 6, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$78,279 Vol.
$78,279 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
Über
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) estimates that the 2024 YR4 asteroid has a 3% or greater chance of hitting Earth at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be information from NASA, specifically the Center for Near Earth Object Studies chart for Impact Risk Data, available here: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/.
Look for "(2024 YR4)" under "Object Designation", and check the figure under "Impact Probability (Cumulative)" to find the information that will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) estimates that the 2024 YR4 asteroid has a 3% or greater chance of hitting Earth at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be information from NASA, specifically the Center for Near Earth Object Studies chart for Impact Risk Data, available here: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/.
Look for "(2024 YR4)" under "Object Designation", and check the figure under "Impact Probability (Cumulative)" to find the information that will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NASA, specifically the Center for Near Earth Object Studies chart for Impact Risk Data, available here: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/.
Look for "(2024 YR4)" under "Object Designation", and check the figure under "Impact Probability (Cumulative)" to find the information that will be used to resolve this market.
Volumen
$78,279Enddatum
Jun 30, 2025Erstellt am
Feb 6, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.