A US-backed disarmament proposal for Hamas, detailed on March 26 by the Board of Peace and involving phased weapons surrender over eight months plus Gaza tunnel destruction, has Hamas weighing acceptance, fostering trader optimism for de-escalation over escalation. This overshadows January reports of Israel planning a Gaza City ground offensive this month contingent on Trump administration approval, which has not launched amid Israel's expanded military operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Persistent artillery shelling and tank fire in Gaza persist, but diplomatic momentum and regional focus on Iran-related tensions reduce major offensive likelihood, with Hamas's forthcoming response and ceasefire talks pivotal.
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$492,364 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A US-backed disarmament proposal for Hamas, detailed on March 26 by the Board of Peace and involving phased weapons surrender over eight months plus Gaza tunnel destruction, has Hamas weighing acceptance, fostering trader optimism for de-escalation over escalation. This overshadows January reports of Israel planning a Gaza City ground offensive this month contingent on Trump administration approval, which has not launched amid Israel's expanded military operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Persistent artillery shelling and tank fire in Gaza persist, but diplomatic momentum and regional focus on Iran-related tensions reduce major offensive likelihood, with Hamas's forthcoming response and ceasefire talks pivotal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volumen
$492,364Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025Markt eröffnet
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A US-backed disarmament proposal for Hamas, detailed on March 26 by the Board of Peace and involving phased weapons surrender over eight months plus Gaza tunnel destruction, has Hamas weighing acceptance, fostering trader optimism for de-escalation over escalation. This overshadows January reports of Israel planning a Gaza City ground offensive this month contingent on Trump administration approval, which has not launched amid Israel's expanded military operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Persistent artillery shelling and tank fire in Gaza persist, but diplomatic momentum and regional focus on Iran-related tensions reduce major offensive likelihood, with Hamas's forthcoming response and ceasefire talks pivotal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$492,364Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025Markt eröffnet
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A US-backed disarmament proposal for Hamas, detailed on March 26 by the Board of Peace and involving phased weapons surrender over eight months plus Gaza tunnel destruction, has Hamas weighing acceptance, fostering trader optimism for de-escalation over escalation. This overshadows January reports of Israel planning a Gaza City ground offensive this month contingent on Trump administration approval, which has not launched amid Israel's expanded military operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Persistent artillery shelling and tank fire in Gaza persist, but diplomatic momentum and regional focus on Iran-related tensions reduce major offensive likelihood, with Hamas's forthcoming response and ceasefire talks pivotal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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