Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.6% implied probability for "No" additional countries boycotting Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by March 31, driven by the absence of fresh withdrawal announcements since December 2025, when broadcasters from Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain, and Iceland officially pulled out over Israel's participation amid the Gaza conflict. With Vienna preparations underway and the May event looming, no EBU member has signaled further exits despite scattered artist protests in places like Malta and Belgium; historical patterns show boycotts cluster early post-controversy rather than last-minute. Realistic upsets could involve a sudden broadcaster reversal from a pressured nation like Norway or Italy, but with just days until resolution, momentum favors stability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$19,420 Vol.
$19,420 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Ja
$19,420 Vol.
$19,420 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.6% implied probability for "No" additional countries boycotting Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by March 31, driven by the absence of fresh withdrawal announcements since December 2025, when broadcasters from Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain, and Iceland officially pulled out over Israel's participation amid the Gaza conflict. With Vienna preparations underway and the May event looming, no EBU member has signaled further exits despite scattered artist protests in places like Malta and Belgium; historical patterns show boycotts cluster early post-controversy rather than last-minute. Realistic upsets could involve a sudden broadcaster reversal from a pressured nation like Norway or Italy, but with just days until resolution, momentum favors stability.
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ET
Volumen
$19,420Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.6% implied probability for "No" additional countries boycotting Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by March 31, driven by the absence of fresh withdrawal announcements since December 2025, when broadcasters from Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain, and Iceland officially pulled out over Israel's participation amid the Gaza conflict. With Vienna preparations underway and the May event looming, no EBU member has signaled further exits despite scattered artist protests in places like Malta and Belgium; historical patterns show boycotts cluster early post-controversy rather than last-minute. Realistic upsets could involve a sudden broadcaster reversal from a pressured nation like Norway or Italy, but with just days until resolution, momentum favors stability.
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$19,420Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.6% implied probability for "No" additional countries boycotting Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by March 31, driven by the absence of fresh withdrawal announcements since December 2025, when broadcasters from Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain, and Iceland officially pulled out over Israel's participation amid the Gaza conflict. With Vienna preparations underway and the May event looming, no EBU member has signaled further exits despite scattered artist protests in places like Malta and Belgium; historical patterns show boycotts cluster early post-controversy rather than last-minute. Realistic upsets could involve a sudden broadcaster reversal from a pressured nation like Norway or Italy, but with just days until resolution, momentum favors stability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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