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Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Market icon

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Keine Ankündigung bis zum 31. Dezember 100.0%

Kevin Warsh <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Arthur Laffer <1%

Polymarket

$11,634,890 Vol.

Keine Ankündigung bis zum 31. Dezember 100.0%

Kevin Warsh <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Arthur Laffer <1%

Polymarket

$11,634,890 Vol.

Kevin Warsh

$671,163 Vol.

Nein

Kevin Hassett

$933,953 Vol.

Nein

Arthur Laffer

$116,529 Vol.

No

Larry Kudlow

$169,156 Vol.

No

Judy Shelton

$2,013,022 Vol.

No

Ron Paul

$125,060 Vol.

No

Chamath Palihapitiya

$82,488 Vol.

No

Howard Lutnick

$349,023 Vol.

No

Scott Bessent

$594,749 Vol.

No

Elon Musk

$1,275,988 Vol.

No

Chris Waller

$666,487 Vol.

No

Michelle Bowman

$583,071 Vol.

No

Roger W. Ferguson Jr.

$625,335 Vol.

No

Rick Rieder

$164,849 Vol.

No

Keine Ankündigung bis zum 31. Dezember

$3,264,019 Vol.

Ja

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$11,634,890
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Apr 18, 2025, 2:06 PM ET
Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/). This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keine Ankündigung bis zum 31. Dezember" at 100%, followed by "Kevin Warsh" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?" has generated $11.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?" is "Keine Ankündigung bis zum 31. Dezember" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Warsh" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.