The United States and Israel launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, under Operations Roaring Lion and Epic Fury, targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, leadership—including Supreme Leader Khamenei—and energy infrastructure like the South Pars gas field. This month-long campaign persists as of March 30, with recent US-Israeli strikes reported on March 29 degrading Iranian military capabilities amid Iranian missile retaliations on Israeli and US regional assets. President Trump suggested US seizure of Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal today, while Pentagon preparations signal potential ground operations. No other countries have conducted verifiable military actions against Iran, shaping trader focus on confirmed US-Israeli involvement before the March 31 resolution amid escalation risks from diplomacy or further reprisals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$10,850,057 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Saudi-Arabien
4%
VAE
4%
Katar
3%
Bahrain
2%
Kuwait
1%
Jordanien
1%
Vereinigtes Königreich
1%
Türkei
1%
Frankreich
1%
Ein EU-Land
1%
Oman
1%
Deutschland
<1%
Kanada
<1%
$10,850,057 Vol.
Saudi-Arabien
$2,211,747 Vol.
4%
VAE
$2,855,804 Vol.
4%
Katar
$950,221 Vol.
3%
Bahrain
$392,924 Vol.
2%
Kuwait
$211,677 Vol.
1%
Jordanien
$189,690 Vol.
1%
Vereinigtes Königreich
$948,392 Vol.
1%
Türkei
$481,803 Vol.
1%
Frankreich
$750,286 Vol.
1%
Ein EU-Land
$473,070 Vol.
1%
Oman
$132,078 Vol.
1%
Deutschland
$912,757 Vol.
<1%
Kanada
$339,709 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Israel launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, under Operations Roaring Lion and Epic Fury, targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, leadership—including Supreme Leader Khamenei—and energy infrastructure like the South Pars gas field. This month-long campaign persists as of March 30, with recent US-Israeli strikes reported on March 29 degrading Iranian military capabilities amid Iranian missile retaliations on Israeli and US regional assets. President Trump suggested US seizure of Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal today, while Pentagon preparations signal potential ground operations. No other countries have conducted verifiable military actions against Iran, shaping trader focus on confirmed US-Israeli involvement before the March 31 resolution amid escalation risks from diplomacy or further reprisals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volumen
$10,850,057Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Israel launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, under Operations Roaring Lion and Epic Fury, targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, leadership—including Supreme Leader Khamenei—and energy infrastructure like the South Pars gas field. This month-long campaign persists as of March 30, with recent US-Israeli strikes reported on March 29 degrading Iranian military capabilities amid Iranian missile retaliations on Israeli and US regional assets. President Trump suggested US seizure of Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal today, while Pentagon preparations signal potential ground operations. No other countries have conducted verifiable military actions against Iran, shaping trader focus on confirmed US-Israeli involvement before the March 31 resolution amid escalation risks from diplomacy or further reprisals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,850,057Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States and Israel launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, under Operations Roaring Lion and Epic Fury, targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, leadership—including Supreme Leader Khamenei—and energy infrastructure like the South Pars gas field. This month-long campaign persists as of March 30, with recent US-Israeli strikes reported on March 29 degrading Iranian military capabilities amid Iranian missile retaliations on Israeli and US regional assets. President Trump suggested US seizure of Iran's Kharg Island oil terminal today, while Pentagon preparations signal potential ground operations. No other countries have conducted verifiable military actions against Iran, shaping trader focus on confirmed US-Israeli involvement before the March 31 resolution amid escalation risks from diplomacy or further reprisals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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