OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertOpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Vol.
$1,351,043 Vol.
31. März 2026
Nein
OpenAI
Ja
Z.ai
Nein
DeepSeek
Nein
Mistral
Nein
Anthropic
Nein
Alibaba
Nein
xAI
Nein
Moonshot
Nein
OpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Vol.
$1,351,043 Vol.
31. März 2026
$124,134 Vol.
Nein
OpenAI
$193,398 Vol.
Ja
Z.ai
$125,315 Vol.
Nein
DeepSeek
$217,171 Vol.
Nein
Mistral
$161,221 Vol.
Nein
Anthropic
$210,114 Vol.
Nein
Alibaba
$79,517 Vol.
Nein
xAI
$149,261 Vol.
Nein
Moonshot
$90,912 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
Volumen
$1,351,043Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$1,351,043Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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