Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS shutdown ending after March 31 (78.1%), reflecting entrenched partisan gridlock over fiscal year 2024 appropriations as the March 22 continuing resolution deadline nears without a full funding deal. House Republicans' bill proposing deep spending cuts and policy riders on border security has stalled amid opposition from Senate Democrats and conservative hardliners, prompting Speaker Johnson to abandon a planned vote last week. Short-term resolutions remain possible in late March (11.6% for March 28-31; 10.4% for March 24-27), but historical patterns of repeated CRs and last-minute compromises underpin bets on prolonged uncertainty, with key negotiations and potential House votes this week as pivotal catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWann endet die DHS-Abschaltung?
Wann endet die DHS-Abschaltung?
Nach dem 31. März 78.2%
28.–31. März 11.4%
24.–27. März 10.3%
$1,388,265 Vol.
$1,388,265 Vol.
24.–27. März
10%
28.–31. März
11%
Nach dem 31. März
78%
Nach dem 31. März 78.2%
28.–31. März 11.4%
24.–27. März 10.3%
$1,388,265 Vol.
$1,388,265 Vol.
24.–27. März
10%
28.–31. März
11%
Nach dem 31. März
78%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS shutdown ending after March 31 (78.1%), reflecting entrenched partisan gridlock over fiscal year 2024 appropriations as the March 22 continuing resolution deadline nears without a full funding deal. House Republicans' bill proposing deep spending cuts and policy riders on border security has stalled amid opposition from Senate Democrats and conservative hardliners, prompting Speaker Johnson to abandon a planned vote last week. Short-term resolutions remain possible in late March (11.6% for March 28-31; 10.4% for March 24-27), but historical patterns of repeated CRs and last-minute compromises underpin bets on prolonged uncertainty, with key negotiations and potential House votes this week as pivotal catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen