US and Israeli forces launched a coordinated air campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, prioritizing strikes on nuclear facilities like Natanz and Arak, alongside ballistic missile sites and IRGC command centers, achieving rapid air superiority over western Iran to central Tehran. By March 31, continued airstrikes hit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center with bunker-buster bombs, triggering massive explosions, as well as bridges, steel plants, and power infrastructure, amid Iranian missile barrages on Gulf refineries and Israeli targets. Trader consensus reflected this emphasis on degrading Iran's nuclear program, the campaign's core objective per official statements, though disputes linger over specific strike verifications. Escalation risks persist with Trump's warnings of further infrastructure hits and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$737,724 Vol.
Atomanlage Isfahan
99%
$737,724 Vol.
Atomanlage Isfahan
$456,491 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by US Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the US, Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against an Iranian oil or gas facility, inclusive of all Iranian oil rigs, or refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on Iranian soil or within Iranian maritime territory, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility, in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US and Israeli forces launched a coordinated air campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, prioritizing strikes on nuclear facilities like Natanz and Arak, alongside ballistic missile sites and IRGC command centers, achieving rapid air superiority over western Iran to central Tehran. By March 31, continued airstrikes hit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center with bunker-buster bombs, triggering massive explosions, as well as bridges, steel plants, and power infrastructure, amid Iranian missile barrages on Gulf refineries and Israeli targets. Trader consensus reflected this emphasis on degrading Iran's nuclear program, the campaign's core objective per official statements, though disputes linger over specific strike verifications. Escalation risks persist with Trump's warnings of further infrastructure hits and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volumen
$737,724Markt eröffnet
Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Umstritten
Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Umstritten
Endgültige Überprüfung
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by US Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the US, Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against an Iranian oil or gas facility, inclusive of all Iranian oil rigs, or refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on Iranian soil or within Iranian maritime territory, between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli or US missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility, in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US and Israeli forces launched a coordinated air campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, prioritizing strikes on nuclear facilities like Natanz and Arak, alongside ballistic missile sites and IRGC command centers, achieving rapid air superiority over western Iran to central Tehran. By March 31, continued airstrikes hit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center with bunker-buster bombs, triggering massive explosions, as well as bridges, steel plants, and power infrastructure, amid Iranian missile barrages on Gulf refineries and Israeli targets. Trader consensus reflected this emphasis on degrading Iran's nuclear program, the campaign's core objective per official statements, though disputes linger over specific strike verifications. Escalation risks persist with Trump's warnings of further infrastructure hits and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$737,724Markt eröffnet
Feb 28, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Umstritten
Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Umstritten
Endgültige Überprüfung
US and Israeli forces launched a coordinated air campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, prioritizing strikes on nuclear facilities like Natanz and Arak, alongside ballistic missile sites and IRGC command centers, achieving rapid air superiority over western Iran to central Tehran. By March 31, continued airstrikes hit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center with bunker-buster bombs, triggering massive explosions, as well as bridges, steel plants, and power infrastructure, amid Iranian missile barrages on Gulf refineries and Israeli targets. Trader consensus reflected this emphasis on degrading Iran's nuclear program, the campaign's core objective per official statements, though disputes linger over specific strike verifications. Escalation risks persist with Trump's warnings of further infrastructure hits and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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