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Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?

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Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?

1% chance
Polymarket

$53,426 Vol.

1% chance
Polymarket

$53,426 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election but loses one or more of the following states: Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race and the state for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$53,426
Enddatum
Nov 5, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Oct 29, 2024, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election but loses one or more of the following states: Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race and the state for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election but loses one or more of the following states: Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race and the state for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$53,426
Enddatum
Nov 5, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Oct 29, 2024, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election but loses one or more of the following states: Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race and the state for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?" has generated $53.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 29, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.