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Politik·Mittlerer Osten

Trump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?

Market icon
Politik·Mittlerer Osten

Trump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?

$7,307,444 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$7,307,444 Vol.

Polymarket

31. März

$4,621,335 Vol.

3%

7. April

$158,713 Vol.

15%

15. April

$544,514 Vol.

30%

30. April

$1,247,624 Vol.

47%

30. Juni

$544,142 Vol.

74%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's administration continues airstrikes and missile operations against Iranian military targets into the fourth week of conflict, with the heaviest barrages reported in the past day amid claims of operations being "extremely ahead of schedule" and Iran "decimated" in naval, air, and command capabilities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated the U.S. expects the campaign to conclude in weeks, not months, without ground troops, while Trump has twice paused threatened attacks on Iran's power grid—most recently extending to early April—citing productive indirect negotiations via Pakistan on a 15-point proposal for nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz access. Iran denies talks and retaliates sporadically; traders watch April 6 deadline for potential escalation or de-escalation signals that could prompt an end-of-operations announcement.

President Trump's administration continues airstrikes and missile operations against Iranian military targets into the fourth week of conflict, with the heaviest barrages reported in the past day amid claims of operations being "extremely ahead of schedule" and Iran "decimated" in naval, air, and command capabilities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated the U.S. expects the campaign to conclude in weeks, not months, without ground troops, while Trump has twice paused threatened attacks on Iran's power grid—most recently extending to early April—citing productive indirect negotiations via Pakistan on a 15-point proposal for nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz access. Iran denies talks and retaliates sporadically; traders watch April 6 deadline for potential escalation or de-escalation signals that could prompt an end-of-operations announcement.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's administration continues airstrikes and missile operations against Iranian military targets into the fourth week of conflict, with the heaviest barrages reported in the past day amid claims of operations being "extremely ahead of schedule" and Iran "decimated" in naval, air, and command capabilities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated the U.S. expects the campaign to conclude in weeks, not months, without ground troops, while Trump has twice paused threatened attacks on Iran's power grid—most recently extending to early April—citing productive indirect negotiations via Pakistan on a 15-point proposal for nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz access. Iran denies talks and retaliates sporadically; traders watch April 6 deadline for potential escalation or de-escalation signals that could prompt an end-of-operations announcement.

President Trump's administration continues airstrikes and missile operations against Iranian military targets into the fourth week of conflict, with the heaviest barrages reported in the past day amid claims of operations being "extremely ahead of schedule" and Iran "decimated" in naval, air, and command capabilities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated the U.S. expects the campaign to conclude in weeks, not months, without ground troops, while Trump has twice paused threatened attacks on Iran's power grid—most recently extending to early April—citing productive indirect negotiations via Pakistan on a 15-point proposal for nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz access. Iran denies talks and retaliates sporadically; traders watch April 6 deadline for potential escalation or de-escalation signals that could prompt an end-of-operations announcement.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Trump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „30. Juni" mit 74%, gefolgt von „30. April" mit 47%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 74¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Trump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $7.3 million generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Trump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Trump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?" ist „30. Juni" mit 74%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30. April" mit 47%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Trump verkündet das Ende der Militäroperationen gegen den Iran bis zum ...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.