Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel strike on February 28, has not made a live public appearance in over three weeks amid escalating regional conflict. State media has aired only archival footage and read his written statements, fueling rumors of health issues or injuries despite a March 31 statement from Russia's ambassador confirming he remains in Iran but avoids visibility for security reasons. This reclusiveness, consistent with his pre-succession low profile as a powerbroker, reflects hardliner caution during airstrikes, proxy clashes, and diplomatic standoffs with the US and Israel. Traders weigh potential shifts from de-escalation signals or regime stability needs against persistent assassination risks before any resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMojtaba Khamenei öffentlicher Auftritt von...?
Mojtaba Khamenei öffentlicher Auftritt von...?
$771,121 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
April 30
25%
31. Mai
34%
$771,121 Vol.
April 30
$146,485 Vol.
25%
31. Mai
$8,830 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel strike on February 28, has not made a live public appearance in over three weeks amid escalating regional conflict. State media has aired only archival footage and read his written statements, fueling rumors of health issues or injuries despite a March 31 statement from Russia's ambassador confirming he remains in Iran but avoids visibility for security reasons. This reclusiveness, consistent with his pre-succession low profile as a powerbroker, reflects hardliner caution during airstrikes, proxy clashes, and diplomatic standoffs with the US and Israel. Traders weigh potential shifts from de-escalation signals or regime stability needs against persistent assassination risks before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volumen
$771,121Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel strike on February 28, has not made a live public appearance in over three weeks amid escalating regional conflict. State media has aired only archival footage and read his written statements, fueling rumors of health issues or injuries despite a March 31 statement from Russia's ambassador confirming he remains in Iran but avoids visibility for security reasons. This reclusiveness, consistent with his pre-succession low profile as a powerbroker, reflects hardliner caution during airstrikes, proxy clashes, and diplomatic standoffs with the US and Israel. Traders weigh potential shifts from de-escalation signals or regime stability needs against persistent assassination risks before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volumen
$771,121Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in a US-Israel strike on February 28, has not made a live public appearance in over three weeks amid escalating regional conflict. State media has aired only archival footage and read his written statements, fueling rumors of health issues or injuries despite a March 31 statement from Russia's ambassador confirming he remains in Iran but avoids visibility for security reasons. This reclusiveness, consistent with his pre-succession low profile as a powerbroker, reflects hardliner caution during airstrikes, proxy clashes, and diplomatic standoffs with the US and Israel. Traders weigh potential shifts from de-escalation signals or regime stability needs against persistent assassination risks before any resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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