Matt Little holds a commanding lead in the MN-02 House race as the Democratic nominee in this open suburban-to-rural district south of the Twin Cities. The seat became vacant after Rep. Angie Craig pursued a Senate bid, and Little secured the nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating other DFL candidates. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s leftward shift and Little’s endorsements from the state party, unions, and progressive groups. Recent debates have centered on national issues including tariffs, immigration, and foreign policy, with Little positioning against the Trump agenda. Eric Pratt, the unopposed Republican nominee and state senator, emphasizes affordability and accountability but faces structural headwinds. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts in key suburbs could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.