Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro will not be exiled to Qatar by March 31, driven by his firm grip on military, security forces, and state institutions following the disputed July 2024 election, where he retained power amid opposition claims of victory by Edmundo González. No credible reports, official statements, or diplomatic signals indicate exile negotiations with Qatar or any foreign host, despite ongoing U.S. sanctions and international non-recognition of Maduro's mandate. High confidence stems from the absence of catalysts like coups or mass defections, with historical precedents showing Maduro's resilience against pressure. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected internal revolt or intensified regional mediation, though probabilities remain minimal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$74,476 Vol.
$74,476 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Ja
$74,476 Vol.
$74,476 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
Volumen
$74,476Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$74,476Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro will not be exiled to Qatar by March 31, driven by his firm grip on military, security forces, and state institutions following the disputed July 2024 election, where he retained power amid opposition claims of victory by Edmundo González. No credible reports, official statements, or diplomatic signals indicate exile negotiations with Qatar or any foreign host, despite ongoing U.S. sanctions and international non-recognition of Maduro's mandate. High confidence stems from the absence of catalysts like coups or mass defections, with historical precedents showing Maduro's resilience against pressure. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected internal revolt or intensified regional mediation, though probabilities remain minimal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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