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Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?

Market icon

Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$270,986 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$270,986 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 26 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count.

Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$270,986
Enddatum
Oct 31, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Sep 27, 2024, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 26 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count. Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 26 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count.

Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$270,986
Enddatum
Oct 31, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Sep 27, 2024, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 26 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count. Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?" has generated $271K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 27, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.