Market icon

Israel strike on Yemen on...?

September 10 100.0%

September 9 or earlier <1%

September 11 <1%

September 12 <1%

Polymarket

$1,158,966 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the first day ET Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate between September 8 and September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No strike" if no qualifying strike is conducted by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,158,966
Enddatum
Sep 15, 2025
Erstellt am
Sep 8, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first day ET Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate between September 8 and September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No strike" if no qualifying strike is conducted by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel strike on Yemen on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 10" at 100%, followed by "September 9 or earlier" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israel strike on Yemen on...?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israel strike on Yemen on...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Israel strike on Yemen on...?" is "September 10" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 9 or earlier" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Israel strike on Yemen on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Israel strike on Yemen on...?

September 10 100.0%

September 9 or earlier <1%

September 11 <1%

September 12 <1%

Polymarket

$1,158,966 Vol.

September 9 or earlier

$126,972 Vol.

No

September 10

$646,322 Vol.

Yes

September 11

$128,011 Vol.

No

September 12

$60,641 Vol.

No

September 13

$50,658 Vol.

No

September 14

$51,997 Vol.

No

September 15

$59,250 Vol.

No

No strike

$35,116 Vol.

No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel strike on Yemen on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 10" at 100%, followed by "September 9 or earlier" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israel strike on Yemen on...?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israel strike on Yemen on...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Israel strike on Yemen on...?" is "September 10" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 9 or earlier" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Israel strike on Yemen on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.