Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a ballistic missile at Israel on March 27, 2026—their first direct attack since the US-Israel war against Iran erupted last month—which Israeli defenses intercepted without reported damage. Houthi spokesmen confirmed the strike and warned of further military intervention if additional allies join the US-Israel coalition, hostilities escalate, or the Red Sea is used for strikes on Iran, threatening disruptions at the Bab al-Mandab Strait chokepoint for global shipping and oil flows. Israel, which conducted multiple airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen throughout 2025 in response to prior drone and missile threats, faces heightened pressure for retaliation amid ongoing proxy escalations. Traders monitor for Israeli airstrikes, naval actions, or diplomatic signals that could resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIsraelische Militäraktion gegen den Jemen durch...?
Israelische Militäraktion gegen den Jemen durch...?
$809,235 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
31. März
47%
30. April
85%
30. Juni
91%
31. Mai
88%
$809,235 Vol.
31. März
$396,839 Vol.
47%
30. April
$19,701 Vol.
85%
30. Juni
$359,125 Vol.
91%
31. Mai
$33,966 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a ballistic missile at Israel on March 27, 2026—their first direct attack since the US-Israel war against Iran erupted last month—which Israeli defenses intercepted without reported damage. Houthi spokesmen confirmed the strike and warned of further military intervention if additional allies join the US-Israel coalition, hostilities escalate, or the Red Sea is used for strikes on Iran, threatening disruptions at the Bab al-Mandab Strait chokepoint for global shipping and oil flows. Israel, which conducted multiple airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen throughout 2025 in response to prior drone and missile threats, faces heightened pressure for retaliation amid ongoing proxy escalations. Traders monitor for Israeli airstrikes, naval actions, or diplomatic signals that could resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Volumen
$809,235Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a ballistic missile at Israel on March 27, 2026—their first direct attack since the US-Israel war against Iran erupted last month—which Israeli defenses intercepted without reported damage. Houthi spokesmen confirmed the strike and warned of further military intervention if additional allies join the US-Israel coalition, hostilities escalate, or the Red Sea is used for strikes on Iran, threatening disruptions at the Bab al-Mandab Strait chokepoint for global shipping and oil flows. Israel, which conducted multiple airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen throughout 2025 in response to prior drone and missile threats, faces heightened pressure for retaliation amid ongoing proxy escalations. Traders monitor for Israeli airstrikes, naval actions, or diplomatic signals that could resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$809,235Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen launched a ballistic missile at Israel on March 27, 2026—their first direct attack since the US-Israel war against Iran erupted last month—which Israeli defenses intercepted without reported damage. Houthi spokesmen confirmed the strike and warned of further military intervention if additional allies join the US-Israel coalition, hostilities escalate, or the Red Sea is used for strikes on Iran, threatening disruptions at the Bab al-Mandab Strait chokepoint for global shipping and oil flows. Israel, which conducted multiple airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen throughout 2025 in response to prior drone and missile threats, faces heightened pressure for retaliation amid ongoing proxy escalations. Traders monitor for Israeli airstrikes, naval actions, or diplomatic signals that could resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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