The US-Israel conflict with Iran, now over four weeks since massive airstrikes began on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership, remains active amid escalating missile barrages and retaliatory strikes. Iran launched nine waves of missiles at Israel since March 24, including cluster munitions and hypersonic variants, while US and Israeli forces hit Iranian oil depots, Bushehr, and Tehran infrastructure; a new ballistic attack occurred March 27. The Trump administration's 15-point ceasefire proposal was rejected by Tehran, which demands an end to attacks first, stalling diplomacy despite Omani mediation efforts. Strait of Hormuz tensions persist with partial reopening under coordination, but troop buildups and ultimatums signal potential for prolonged escalation rather than imminent resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIran x Israel/US-Konflikt endet durch...?
Iran x Israel/US-Konflikt endet durch...?
$8,061,868 Vol.
May 15, 2026
31. März
2%
15. April
18%
7. April
6%
30. April
35%
15. Mai
45%
30. Juni
64%
31. Dezember
84%
$8,061,868 Vol.
31. März
$4,221,623 Vol.
2%
15. April
$906,255 Vol.
18%
7. April
$94,881 Vol.
6%
30. April
$664,618 Vol.
35%
15. Mai
$1,167,786 Vol.
45%
30. Juni
$806,755 Vol.
64%
31. Dezember
$199,951 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The US-Israel conflict with Iran, now over four weeks since massive airstrikes began on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership, remains active amid escalating missile barrages and retaliatory strikes. Iran launched nine waves of missiles at Israel since March 24, including cluster munitions and hypersonic variants, while US and Israeli forces hit Iranian oil depots, Bushehr, and Tehran infrastructure; a new ballistic attack occurred March 27. The Trump administration's 15-point ceasefire proposal was rejected by Tehran, which demands an end to attacks first, stalling diplomacy despite Omani mediation efforts. Strait of Hormuz tensions persist with partial reopening under coordination, but troop buildups and ultimatums signal potential for prolonged escalation rather than imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volumen
$8,061,868Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The US-Israel conflict with Iran, now over four weeks since massive airstrikes began on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership, remains active amid escalating missile barrages and retaliatory strikes. Iran launched nine waves of missiles at Israel since March 24, including cluster munitions and hypersonic variants, while US and Israeli forces hit Iranian oil depots, Bushehr, and Tehran infrastructure; a new ballistic attack occurred March 27. The Trump administration's 15-point ceasefire proposal was rejected by Tehran, which demands an end to attacks first, stalling diplomacy despite Omani mediation efforts. Strait of Hormuz tensions persist with partial reopening under coordination, but troop buildups and ultimatums signal potential for prolonged escalation rather than imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Volumen
$8,061,868Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US-Israel conflict with Iran, now over four weeks since massive airstrikes began on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership, remains active amid escalating missile barrages and retaliatory strikes. Iran launched nine waves of missiles at Israel since March 24, including cluster munitions and hypersonic variants, while US and Israeli forces hit Iranian oil depots, Bushehr, and Tehran infrastructure; a new ballistic attack occurred March 27. The Trump administration's 15-point ceasefire proposal was rejected by Tehran, which demands an end to attacks first, stalling diplomacy despite Omani mediation efforts. Strait of Hormuz tensions persist with partial reopening under coordination, but troop buildups and ultimatums signal potential for prolonged escalation rather than imminent resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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