Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following 2025 military strikes on nuclear sites like Isfahan, the Trump administration presented a 15-point proposal on March 25, 2026, via Pakistan, demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, halt uranium enrichment, and surrender its stockpile of highly enriched uranium—estimated at over 400 kg of 60% purity pre-war, per IAEA reports. Iran is reviewing the offer amid indirect Oman-mediated talks, with President Trump claiming productive progress and pausing airstrikes on power plants for 10 days, though Tehran denies direct negotiations. IAEA inspectors lack access and continuity of knowledge on the stockpile's location and status, fueling uncertainty; upcoming IAEA-Iran meetings and potential UN Security Council actions could sway diplomatic outcomes before escalation deadlines. Trader consensus reflects skepticism over near-term surrender absent verified compliance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following 2025 military strikes on nuclear sites like Isfahan, the Trump administration presented a 15-point proposal on March 25, 2026, via Pakistan, demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, halt uranium enrichment, and surrender its stockpile of highly enriched uranium—estimated at over 400 kg of 60% purity pre-war, per IAEA reports. Iran is reviewing the offer amid indirect Oman-mediated talks, with President Trump claiming productive progress and pausing airstrikes on power plants for 10 days, though Tehran denies direct negotiations. IAEA inspectors lack access and continuity of knowledge on the stockpile's location and status, fueling uncertainty; upcoming IAEA-Iran meetings and potential UN Security Council actions could sway diplomatic outcomes before escalation deadlines. Trader consensus reflects skepticism over near-term surrender absent verified compliance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$28,750Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following 2025 military strikes on nuclear sites like Isfahan, the Trump administration presented a 15-point proposal on March 25, 2026, via Pakistan, demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, halt uranium enrichment, and surrender its stockpile of highly enriched uranium—estimated at over 400 kg of 60% purity pre-war, per IAEA reports. Iran is reviewing the offer amid indirect Oman-mediated talks, with President Trump claiming productive progress and pausing airstrikes on power plants for 10 days, though Tehran denies direct negotiations. IAEA inspectors lack access and continuity of knowledge on the stockpile's location and status, fueling uncertainty; upcoming IAEA-Iran meetings and potential UN Security Council actions could sway diplomatic outcomes before escalation deadlines. Trader consensus reflects skepticism over near-term surrender absent verified compliance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$28,750Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following 2025 military strikes on nuclear sites like Isfahan, the Trump administration presented a 15-point proposal on March 25, 2026, via Pakistan, demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, halt uranium enrichment, and surrender its stockpile of highly enriched uranium—estimated at over 400 kg of 60% purity pre-war, per IAEA reports. Iran is reviewing the offer amid indirect Oman-mediated talks, with President Trump claiming productive progress and pausing airstrikes on power plants for 10 days, though Tehran denies direct negotiations. IAEA inspectors lack access and continuity of knowledge on the stockpile's location and status, fueling uncertainty; upcoming IAEA-Iran meetings and potential UN Security Council actions could sway diplomatic outcomes before escalation deadlines. Trader consensus reflects skepticism over near-term surrender absent verified compliance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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