Name: Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction
Start: 2025-11-17T23:59:51.989088Z
End: 2025-11-18T00:00:00Z

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This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if [ARTWORK TITLE] (Lot [LOT NUMBER]) sells for [STRIKE PRICE] USD or more. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots. 
.

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trois personnages by Pablo Picasso (Lot 3) sells for USD 700,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if La Serpentine by Henri Matisse (Lot 5) sells for USD 10,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Figure décorative by Henri Matisse (Lot 7) sells for USD 15,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blumenwiese (Blooming Meadow) by Gustav Klimt (Lot 11) sells for USD 75,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen by Ernst Ludwig Kirchner (Lot 13) sells for USD 3,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Untitled #4 by Agnes Martin (Lot 17) sells for USD 2,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 17 Martin – 2m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Le Semeur dans un champ de blé au soleil couchant by Vincent van Gogh (Lot 4) sells for USD 9,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sankthansnatt (Midsummer Night) by Edvard Munch (Lot 6) sells for USD 25,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 6 Munch – 25m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bildnis Elisabeth Lederer (Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer) by Gustav Klimt (Lot 8) sells for USD 150,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Waldabhang bei Unterach am Attersee (Forest Slope in Unterach on the Attersee) by Gustav Klimt (Lot 14) sells for USD 75,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Garden by Agnes Martin (Lot 12) sells for USD 13,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 12 Martin – 13m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nu couché I (Aurore) by Henri Matisse (Lot 15) sells for USD 9,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+

This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Untitled by Robert Rauschenberg (Lot 19) sells for USD 2,000,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.

Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for the Shields Family Collection Honus Wagner card is greater than $4 million. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If no sale is completed by March 31, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1909-11-t206-white-border-honus-wagner-sweet-caporal-150-25-shields-fadn3v4).

Honus Wagner Karte verkauft für über 4 Millionen?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Google currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PayPal currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will PayPal say "Bank" during earnings call?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of EA currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will EA say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Loopscale bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on January 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Wird Tesla während des Gewinnaufrufs „Elon“ oder „Musk“ sagen?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the Milady floor price reaches 2ETH or higher at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "Milady price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/milady, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart.

Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if StandX officially launches a token by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Wird StandX bis zum 31. März einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for for Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve "No".   

If no sale is competed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No".

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (See:https://goldin.co/item/logan-paul-personally-owned-1998-pokemon-japanese-corocoro-promo-raretua0w).

Wird der Verkaufspreis von Logan Pauls PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator über 4 Millionen Dollar liegen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Wird Abstract bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Arc bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Netflix currently scheduled to take place on January 20, 2026 at 4:45 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Theo bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if USD.AI officially launches a governance token by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from USD.AI (https://x.com/USDai_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird USD.AI bis zum 31. März einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Nansen bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daylight (https://x.com/daylight) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Daylight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Daylight bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen?

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ostium Labs officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ostium Labs, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Wird Ostium bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Main Street Sports will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with any other company or private individual(s) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Main Street Sports or the other company involved will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in Main Street Sports. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Main Street Sports and the acquiring company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hauptstraßen-Sportverkauf/Fusion bis 31. Januar?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of GE Vernova currently scheduled to take place on January 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will GE Vernova say "Data Center" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)

Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Extended bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Glencore (GLEN.L) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Rio Tinto (RIO.L) , or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Glencore or Rio Tinto will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Glencore or Rio Tinto; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Glencore und Rio Tinto Verkauf/Fusion bis zum 30. Juni angekündigt?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Nebius currently forecasted to take place on February 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Nebius say "Nvidia" during earnings call?

J.D. Vance is set to deliver remarks in Washington on on January 23, 2026 (see: https://www.dioceseofscranton.org/vance-to-address-march-for-life-rally-in-person-trump-to-speak-via-video/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during the event on January 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the remarks for March for Life (https://www.dioceseofscranton.org/vance-to-address-march-for-life-rally-in-person-trump-to-speak-via-video/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will J.D. Vance say "Trump" during the March for Life?

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spark officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Spark (https://x.com/spark), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Spark bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 einen Token herausbringen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (February 1)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Ubisoft vor 2027 übernommen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Ego" in January?

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Coinbase currently projected to take place on February 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Coinbase say "SEC" or "Securities and Exchange Commission" during earnings call?

The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

Only All-Podcast episodes posted on (https://allin.com/episodes) will count for this market. Other episodes or specials posted on the youtube channel will not count.

If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+
$6,782 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+
$1,257 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+
$1,398 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 6 Munch – 25m+
$791 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+
$778,579 Umsatz
No

Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+
$6,292 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+
$6,769 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 12 Martin – 13m+
$6,391 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+
$611,661 Umsatz
No

Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+
$11,624 Umsatz
No

Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+
$1,120 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 17 Martin – 2m+
$1,133 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+
$2,699 Umsatz
Yes

Marktkontext

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Regeln

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Marktkontext

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Über

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+$6,782 UmsatzYes

Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+$1,257 UmsatzYes

Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+$1,398 UmsatzYes

Lot 6 Munch – 25m+$791 UmsatzYes

Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+$778,579 UmsatzNo

Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+$6,292 UmsatzYes

Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+$6,769 UmsatzYes

Lot 12 Martin – 13m+$6,391 UmsatzYes

Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+$611,661 UmsatzNo

Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+$11,624 UmsatzNo

Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+$1,120 UmsatzYes

Lot 17 Martin – 2m+$1,133 UmsatzYes

Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+$2,699 UmsatzYes

Marktkontext

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Regeln

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Marktkontext

Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction

Über

Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+
$6,782 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 4 Van Gogh – 9m+
$1,257 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 5 Matisse – 10m+
$1,398 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 6 Munch – 25m+
$791 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 7 Matisse – 15m+
$778,579 Umsatz
No

Lot 8 Klimt – 150m+
$6,292 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 11 Klimt – 75m+
$6,769 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 12 Martin – 13m+
$6,391 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 13 Kirchner – 3m+
$611,661 Umsatz
No

Lot 14 Klimt – 75m+
$11,624 Umsatz
No

Lot 15 Matisse – 9m+
$1,120 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 17 Martin – 2m+
$1,133 Umsatz
Yes

Lot 19 Rauschenberg – 2m+
$2,699 Umsatz
Yes