Was wird vor GTA VI passieren?
$17,548,933 Vol.
Drake veröffentlicht Iceman
$57,810 Vol.
92%
Russland-Ukraine-Waffenstillstand
$1,336,971 Vol.
60%
GPT-6 veröffentlicht
$270,669 Vol.
59%
Neues Playboi Carti-Album
$675,160 Vol.
58%
Trump nicht mehr Präsident
$513,395 Vol.
52%
China greift Taiwan an
$1,413,981 Vol.
52%
Neues Rihanna-Album
$639,565 Vol.
51%
Jesus Christus kehrt zurück
$9,477,477 Vol.
49%
Bitcoin erreicht $1 Mio
$3,163,905 Vol.
49%
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Erstellt am: Aug 7, 2025, 10:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Was wird vor GTA VI passieren?
$17,548,933 Vol.
Drake veröffentlicht Iceman
92%
Russland-Ukraine-Waffenstillstand
60%
GPT-6 veröffentlicht
59%
Neues Playboi Carti-Album
58%
Trump nicht mehr Präsident
52%
China greift Taiwan an
52%
Neues Rihanna-Album
51%
Jesus Christus kehrt zurück
49%
Bitcoin erreicht $1 Mio
49%
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Frequently Asked Questions