Market icon

Wie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im Jahr 2026 angreifen?

Market icon

Wie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im Jahr 2026 angreifen?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

3 27%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: 4 24.4%

5 18.9%

6 13.0%

Polymarket

$1,720,073 Vol.

3 27%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: 4 24.4%

5 18.9%

6 13.0%

Polymarket

$1,720,073 Vol.

Gruppeneintragstitel: 2

$420,439 Vol.

5%

3

$126,363 Vol.

27%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: 4

$694,455 Vol.

24%

5

$34,918 Vol.

19%

6

$17,255 Vol.

13%

7

$31,405 Vol.

4%

8

$45,143 Vol.

2%

Gruppeneintrag Titel: 9

$56,900 Vol.

1%

10

$32,947 Vol.

1%

11

$15,358 Vol.

<1%

12

$47,303 Vol.

<1%

13

$15,132 Vol.

<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: 14

$39,437 Vol.

<1%

15+

$17,436 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,720,073
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im Jahr 2026 angreifen?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3" at 27%, followed by "Gruppen-Element-Titel: 4" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im Jahr 2026 angreifen?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im Jahr 2026 angreifen?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im Jahr 2026 angreifen?" is "3" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gruppen-Element-Titel: 4" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im Jahr 2026 angreifen?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.