Trader consensus favors a high temperature of 56-57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 3, with 39% implied probability, aligning closely with National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting mid-50s peaks amid persistent zonal flow aloft steering cool marine air onshore. This positioning reflects recent adjustments in short-term forecasts, as a deepening trough over the Northeast Pacific has cooled outlooks from earlier spring warmth trends noted in NOAA's March seasonal update favoring above-normal temperatures for western Washington. Early April climatological normals hover around 57°F, with historical data showing limited variability; however, ensemble spreads indicate 10-20% chances for 58-63°F if ridging builds unexpectedly. New 12z model runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 3. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 3. April?
56-57°F 39%
54-55°F 26%
58-59°F 23%
52-53°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
45°F oder niedriger
1%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
23%
60-61°F
9%
62–63°F
9%
18°C oder höher
9%
56-57°F 39%
54-55°F 26%
58-59°F 23%
52-53°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
45°F oder niedriger
$479 Vol.
1%
46-47°F
$41 Vol.
6%
48-49°F
$51 Vol.
4%
50-51°F
$152 Vol.
6%
52-53°F
$56 Vol.
11%
54-55°F
$90 Vol.
20%
56-57°F
$255 Vol.
39%
58-59°F
$60 Vol.
23%
60-61°F
$42 Vol.
9%
62–63°F
$41 Vol.
9%
18°C oder höher
$62 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high temperature of 56-57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 3, with 39% implied probability, aligning closely with National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting mid-50s peaks amid persistent zonal flow aloft steering cool marine air onshore. This positioning reflects recent adjustments in short-term forecasts, as a deepening trough over the Northeast Pacific has cooled outlooks from earlier spring warmth trends noted in NOAA's March seasonal update favoring above-normal temperatures for western Washington. Early April climatological normals hover around 57°F, with historical data showing limited variability; however, ensemble spreads indicate 10-20% chances for 58-63°F if ridging builds unexpectedly. New 12z model runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,281Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high temperature of 56-57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 3, with 39% implied probability, aligning closely with National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting mid-50s peaks amid persistent zonal flow aloft steering cool marine air onshore. This positioning reflects recent adjustments in short-term forecasts, as a deepening trough over the Northeast Pacific has cooled outlooks from earlier spring warmth trends noted in NOAA's March seasonal update favoring above-normal temperatures for western Washington. Early April climatological normals hover around 57°F, with historical data showing limited variability; however, ensemble spreads indicate 10-20% chances for 58-63°F if ridging builds unexpectedly. New 12z model runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,281Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high temperature of 56-57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 3, with 39% implied probability, aligning closely with National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting mid-50s peaks amid persistent zonal flow aloft steering cool marine air onshore. This positioning reflects recent adjustments in short-term forecasts, as a deepening trough over the Northeast Pacific has cooled outlooks from earlier spring warmth trends noted in NOAA's March seasonal update favoring above-normal temperatures for western Washington. Early April climatological normals hover around 57°F, with historical data showing limited variability; however, ensemble spreads indicate 10-20% chances for 58-63°F if ridging builds unexpectedly. New 12z model runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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