Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 6°C high temperature in Munich today at 62.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model runs and ECMWF ensemble forecasts updated within the past 24 hours, which project maximums of 5–7°C under persistent low-level cloud cover and a cold northerly airflow over Central Europe. Current morning observations near 2–3°C align with this outlook, limiting diurnal warming due to overcast skies and potential light rain or hail showers, as indicated by BBC and AccuWeather guidance. Compared to March's climatological average high of around 10°C, this reflects a temporary cold anomaly; traders note minimal upside risk for 8°C+ given model agreement, with resolution based on official DWD measurements at München-Flughafen station by midnight. Hourly updates from DWD could refine the peak as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on March 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 30?
6°C 52%
7°C 29%
5°C 18%
8°C 8.3%
$29,353 Vol.
$29,353 Vol.
5°C
18%
6°C
52%
7°C
29%
8°C
8%
9°C
2%
10°C or higher
<1%
6°C 52%
7°C 29%
5°C 18%
8°C 8.3%
$29,353 Vol.
$29,353 Vol.
5°C
18%
6°C
52%
7°C
29%
8°C
8%
9°C
2%
10°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 6°C high temperature in Munich today at 62.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model runs and ECMWF ensemble forecasts updated within the past 24 hours, which project maximums of 5–7°C under persistent low-level cloud cover and a cold northerly airflow over Central Europe. Current morning observations near 2–3°C align with this outlook, limiting diurnal warming due to overcast skies and potential light rain or hail showers, as indicated by BBC and AccuWeather guidance. Compared to March's climatological average high of around 10°C, this reflects a temporary cold anomaly; traders note minimal upside risk for 8°C+ given model agreement, with resolution based on official DWD measurements at München-Flughafen station by midnight. Hourly updates from DWD could refine the peak as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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