Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight race between 56-57°F (26.5%) and 60-61°F (25.0%) for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting inherent spring forecast uncertainty amid divergent GFS and ECMWF model guidance. A cold front passage on March 26 ushered in cooler northeasterly flow and lingering low-level moisture, capping recent highs below normal, yet NOAA's April outlook favors above-normal temperatures overall, buoyed by potential ridging over the Rockies. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus solar heating potential, northwest winds moderating warmth, and 500-hPa height anomalies—historical early April averages hover near 60°F with daily swings of 10-15°F. Watch daily NWS Boulder updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
60-61°F 28%
56-57°F 26%
52-53°F 21%
54-55°F 19%
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
15%
68°F or higher
12%
60-61°F 28%
56-57°F 26%
52-53°F 21%
54-55°F 19%
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
15%
68°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight race between 56-57°F (26.5%) and 60-61°F (25.0%) for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting inherent spring forecast uncertainty amid divergent GFS and ECMWF model guidance. A cold front passage on March 26 ushered in cooler northeasterly flow and lingering low-level moisture, capping recent highs below normal, yet NOAA's April outlook favors above-normal temperatures overall, buoyed by potential ridging over the Rockies. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus solar heating potential, northwest winds moderating warmth, and 500-hPa height anomalies—historical early April averages hover near 60°F with daily swings of 10-15°F. Watch daily NWS Boulder updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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