Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his split New York retrial outcome last June, where a criminal sex act conviction stands but a key rape charge against Jessica Mann remains unresolved, prompting January plea talks and a rejected new trial bid. His 16-year California rape sentence—upheld despite appeals—anchors the 10-20 years cluster at 26.7% implied probability, as he serves it concurrently at Rikers Island amid health woes detailed in a March 10 interview. No prison time leads narrowly at 28.2% on hopes of full overturns or time-served deals, while 20-30 years at 21.5% factors prior New York precedents; watch March retrial scheduling and guild-like prosecutorial momentum for swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHarvey Weinstein Gefängniszeit?
Harvey Weinstein Gefängniszeit?
Keine Gefängnisstrafe 28.2%
10-20 Jahre 26.7%
20-30 Jahre 21.5%
<5 Jahre 9.3%
$684,107 Vol.
$684,107 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Keine Gefängnisstrafe
28%
<5 Jahre
9%
5-10 Jahre
8%
10-20 Jahre
27%
20-30 Jahre
22%
Über 30 Jahre
6%
Keine Gefängnisstrafe 28.2%
10-20 Jahre 26.7%
20-30 Jahre 21.5%
<5 Jahre 9.3%
$684,107 Vol.
$684,107 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Keine Gefängnisstrafe
$292,471 Vol.
28%
<5 Jahre
$49,087 Vol.
9%
5-10 Jahre
$35,303 Vol.
8%
10-20 Jahre
$121,018 Vol.
27%
20-30 Jahre
$151,297 Vol.
22%
Über 30 Jahre
$34,931 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his split New York retrial outcome last June, where a criminal sex act conviction stands but a key rape charge against Jessica Mann remains unresolved, prompting January plea talks and a rejected new trial bid. His 16-year California rape sentence—upheld despite appeals—anchors the 10-20 years cluster at 26.7% implied probability, as he serves it concurrently at Rikers Island amid health woes detailed in a March 10 interview. No prison time leads narrowly at 28.2% on hopes of full overturns or time-served deals, while 20-30 years at 21.5% factors prior New York precedents; watch March retrial scheduling and guild-like prosecutorial momentum for swings.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$684,107Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his split New York retrial outcome last June, where a criminal sex act conviction stands but a key rape charge against Jessica Mann remains unresolved, prompting January plea talks and a rejected new trial bid. His 16-year California rape sentence—upheld despite appeals—anchors the 10-20 years cluster at 26.7% implied probability, as he serves it concurrently at Rikers Island amid health woes detailed in a March 10 interview. No prison time leads narrowly at 28.2% on hopes of full overturns or time-served deals, while 20-30 years at 21.5% factors prior New York precedents; watch March retrial scheduling and guild-like prosecutorial momentum for swings.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$684,107Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his split New York retrial outcome last June, where a criminal sex act conviction stands but a key rape charge against Jessica Mann remains unresolved, prompting January plea talks and a rejected new trial bid. His 16-year California rape sentence—upheld despite appeals—anchors the 10-20 years cluster at 26.7% implied probability, as he serves it concurrently at Rikers Island amid health woes detailed in a March 10 interview. No prison time leads narrowly at 28.2% on hopes of full overturns or time-served deals, while 20-30 years at 21.5% factors prior New York precedents; watch March retrial scheduling and guild-like prosecutorial momentum for swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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