Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in Florida's 18th congressional district due to its established Republican tilt, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and his 65.3% reelection margin in 2024. Both major-party primaries were uncontested, allowing Franklin to focus resources while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, has raised minimal funds and lacks broad name recognition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development, such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift, could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though the district's structural advantages and Franklin's incumbency make such changes improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-18 Wahlsieger
FL-18 Wahlsieger
$39,240 Vol.
$39,240 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Scott Franklin (R)
92%
Curtis Gibson (D)
8%
$39,240 Vol.
$39,240 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Scott Franklin (R)
$23,603 Vol.
92%
Curtis Gibson (D)
$15,637 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in Florida's 18th congressional district due to its established Republican tilt, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and his 65.3% reelection margin in 2024. Both major-party primaries were uncontested, allowing Franklin to focus resources while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, has raised minimal funds and lacks broad name recognition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development, such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift, could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though the district's structural advantages and Franklin's incumbency make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volumen
$39,240Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in Florida's 18th congressional district due to its established Republican tilt, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and his 65.3% reelection margin in 2024. Both major-party primaries were uncontested, allowing Franklin to focus resources while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, has raised minimal funds and lacks broad name recognition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development, such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift, could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though the district's structural advantages and Franklin's incumbency make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$39,240Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in Florida's 18th congressional district due to its established Republican tilt, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and his 65.3% reelection margin in 2024. Both major-party primaries were uncontested, allowing Franklin to focus resources while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, has raised minimal funds and lacks broad name recognition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development, such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift, could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though the district's structural advantages and Franklin's incumbency make such changes improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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