Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 240–319 tweets (top bins at 12.5% for 260–279, 12% for 280–299), reflecting the prior week's March 20–27 resolution at 260–279—a dip from earlier March highs of 340–379 amid steady but moderated activity averaging 37–40 daily posts. This competitive spread underscores Elon's unpredictable posting rhythm, amplified by viral political commentary, Tesla FSD demos, or xAI/Grok updates, which have sparked recent surges like 83 posts on March 22. Swing factors include potential SpaceX launches or controversy responses before the April 7 close, with skin-in-the-game bettors pricing in baseline consistency over outlier spikes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert260-279 13%
240–259 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
$2,109,645 Vol.
$2,109,645 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240–259
12%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400–419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 13%
240–259 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
$2,109,645 Vol.
$2,109,645 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240–259
12%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400–419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 240–319 tweets (top bins at 12.5% for 260–279, 12% for 280–299), reflecting the prior week's March 20–27 resolution at 260–279—a dip from earlier March highs of 340–379 amid steady but moderated activity averaging 37–40 daily posts. This competitive spread underscores Elon's unpredictable posting rhythm, amplified by viral political commentary, Tesla FSD demos, or xAI/Grok updates, which have sparked recent surges like 83 posts on March 22. Swing factors include potential SpaceX launches or controversy responses before the April 7 close, with skin-in-the-game bettors pricing in baseline consistency over outlier spikes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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