Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets 30. Januar - 6. Februar 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets 30. Januar - 6. Februar 2026?

280-299 100.0%

<20 <1%

20–39 <1%

40–59 <1%

Polymarket

$18,060,345 Vol.

280-299 100.0%

<20 <1%

20–39 <1%

40–59 <1%

Polymarket

$18,060,345 Vol.

<20

$215,213 Vol.

Nein

20–39

$71,949 Vol.

Nein

40–59

$66,842 Vol.

Nein

60-79

$69,776 Vol.

Nein

80-99

$126,425 Vol.

Nein

100-119

$298,300 Vol.

Nein

120-139

$175,907 Vol.

Nein

140-159

$195,495 Vol.

Nein

160-179

$320,733 Vol.

Nein

180-199

$395,128 Vol.

Nein

200-219

$332,072 Vol.

Nein

220-239

$503,062 Vol.

Nein

240–259

$1,671,933 Vol.

Nein

260-279

$2,928,623 Vol.

Nein

280-299

$1,915,377 Vol.

Ja

300-319

$1,938,947 Vol.

Nein

320-339

$1,254,539 Vol.

Nein

340-359

$1,007,546 Vol.

Nein

360-379

$608,246 Vol.

Nein

380–399

$614,449 Vol.

Nein

400–419

$530,732 Vol.

Nein

420–439

$346,623 Vol.

Nein

440-459

$330,291 Vol.

Nein

460-479

$311,938 Vol.

Nein

480-499

$197,573 Vol.

Nein

500-519

$217,606 Vol.

Nein

520-539

$253,903 Vol.

Nein

540–559

$176,280 Vol.

Nein

560-579

$128,207 Vol.

Nein

580-599

$124,610 Vol.

Nein

600–619

$115,798 Vol.

Nein

620-639

$94,622 Vol.

Nein

640-659

$80,559 Vol.

Nein

660-679

$84,337 Vol.

Nein

680-699

$87,520 Vol.

Nein

700-719

$80,996 Vol.

Nein

720-739

$78,247 Vol.

Nein

740+

$109,940 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 30 12:00 PM ET to February 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$18,060,345
Enddatum
Feb 6, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 30 12:00 PM ET to February 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 30. Januar - 6. Februar 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "280-299" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 30. Januar - 6. Februar 2026?" has generated $18.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 30. Januar - 6. Februar 2026?," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 30. Januar - 6. Februar 2026?" is "280-299" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 30. Januar - 6. Februar 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.