Market icon

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$408 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. If CME does not publish the settlement price for the listed trading day by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the Active Month changes between the previous trading day and Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the market will continue using the same contract month used on the previous trading day for the purposes of determining whether the settlement price moved up or down.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$408
Enddatum
Dec 10, 2025
Erstellt am
Dec 9, 2025, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. If CME does not publish the settlement price for the listed trading day by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the Active Month changes between the previous trading day and Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the market will continue using the same contract month used on the previous trading day for the purposes of determining whether the settlement price moved up or down. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Up

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Up

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Up." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?," decide whether you believe Bitcoin's price at noon ET on December 10 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Bitcoin's price at noon ET on December 10. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Up." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?" market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin's price at noon ET on December 10 versus noon ET on December 10, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the December 10 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.
Market icon

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$408 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. If CME does not publish the settlement price for the listed trading day by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the Active Month changes between the previous trading day and Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the market will continue using the same contract month used on the previous trading day for the purposes of determining whether the settlement price moved up or down.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$408
Enddatum
Dec 10, 2025
Erstellt am
Dec 9, 2025, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. If CME does not publish the settlement price for the listed trading day by 11:59 PM ET of the next trading day, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the Active Month changes between the previous trading day and Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the market will continue using the same contract month used on the previous trading day for the purposes of determining whether the settlement price moved up or down. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Up

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Up

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Up." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?," decide whether you believe Bitcoin's price at noon ET on December 10 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Bitcoin's price at noon ET on December 10. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Up." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 10?" market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin's price at noon ET on December 10 versus noon ET on December 10, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the December 10 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.