Skip to main content
Market icon
Politik·Weltwahlen

Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung

Market icon
Politik·Weltwahlen

Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung

BJP 96.3%

INC 2.8%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$63,499 Vol.

BJP 96.3%

INC 2.8%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$63,499 Vol.

Wird die Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) bei der Wahl zur Legislativversammlung von Assam 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

BJP

$12,367 Vol.

96%

Wird der Indische Nationalkongress (INC) bei der Wahl zur Legislativversammlung von Assam 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

INC

$7,641 Vol.

3%

Wird der All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) bei der Wahl zur Assam Legislative Assembly 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

AITC

$4,697 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Kommunistische Partei Indiens (Marxisten) (CPI(M)) bei der Wahl zur Gesetzgebenden Versammlung von Assam 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

CPI(M)

$5,029 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) bei der Assam-Landtagswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

NCP

$4,401 Vol.

<1%

Wird die All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) die meisten Sitze bei der Assam-Landtagswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

AIUDF

$5,115 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) bei der Assam-Landtagswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

BPF

$4,656 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Kommunistische Partei Indiens (CPI) bei der Assam-Landtagswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

CPI

$9,352 Vol.

<1%

Wird die National People’s Party (NPEP) die meisten Sitze bei der Assam-Landtagswahl 2026 gewinnen? icon

NPEP

$5,401 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) die meisten Sitze bei der Wahl zur Gesetzgebenden Versammlung von Assam 2026 gewinnen? icon

AGP

$4,840 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 96.3% implied probability to win the Assam Legislative Assembly, driven by consistent pre-poll surveys projecting the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) to secure 90-105 of 126 seats—well above the 64 needed for majority government. The single-phase election concluded April 9 with record 76% voter turnout, viewed as bolstering incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity amid development gains and stability efforts. Recent IANS-Matrize and C-Voters polls reinforced this, citing NDA strength among upper Assam Hindus, tea tribes, and OBCs, with Congress alliances trailing at 20-32 seats despite minority outreach. Reversal scenarios remain slim absent counting-day surprises on May 4, such as unexpected consolidation or irregularities, though historical polling accuracy in Assam supports the frontrunner.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$63,499
Enddatum
9. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 96.3% implied probability to win the Assam Legislative Assembly, driven by consistent pre-poll surveys projecting the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) to secure 90-105 of 126 seats—well above the 64 needed for majority government. The single-phase election concluded April 9 with record 76% voter turnout, viewed as bolstering incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity amid development gains and stability efforts. Recent IANS-Matrize and C-Voters polls reinforced this, citing NDA strength among upper Assam Hindus, tea tribes, and OBCs, with Congress alliances trailing at 20-32 seats despite minority outreach. Reversal scenarios remain slim absent counting-day surprises on May 4, such as unexpected consolidation or irregularities, though historical polling accuracy in Assam supports the frontrunner.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$63,499
Enddatum
9. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „BJP" mit 96%, gefolgt von „INC" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $63.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 23, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" ist „BJP" mit 96%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „INC" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.