Trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 29.5% to win Alaska's open gubernatorial race, driven by recent primary polls showing him leading the nonpartisan top-four field at around 38% amid a fragmented Republican slate where no GOP contender exceeds 16%. Former state Sen. Click Bishop (22.4%) and conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (20.5%) trail closely, splitting conservative support in the ranked-choice system that rewards broad appeal. Strong early fundraising by over 10 candidates, including six-figure hauls reported in February, sustains the crowded primary dynamic ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 18 vote. Endorsements from figures like term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy or Rep. Mary Peltola entering could consolidate factions and create separation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTom Begich 29%
Bernadette Wilson 14%
Edna DeVries 9.1%
Treg Taylor 8.2%
$385,859 Vol.
$385,859 Vol.

Tom Begich
29%

Bernadette Wilson
21%

Edna DeVries
10%

Treg Taylor
14%

Nancy Dahlstrom
7%

Lisa Murkowski
5%

James Parkin
4%

Shelley Hughes
4%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
23%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
Tom Begich 29%
Bernadette Wilson 14%
Edna DeVries 9.1%
Treg Taylor 8.2%
$385,859 Vol.
$385,859 Vol.

Tom Begich
29%

Bernadette Wilson
21%

Edna DeVries
10%

Treg Taylor
14%

Nancy Dahlstrom
7%

Lisa Murkowski
5%

James Parkin
4%

Shelley Hughes
4%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
23%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 29.5% to win Alaska's open gubernatorial race, driven by recent primary polls showing him leading the nonpartisan top-four field at around 38% amid a fragmented Republican slate where no GOP contender exceeds 16%. Former state Sen. Click Bishop (22.4%) and conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (20.5%) trail closely, splitting conservative support in the ranked-choice system that rewards broad appeal. Strong early fundraising by over 10 candidates, including six-figure hauls reported in February, sustains the crowded primary dynamic ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 18 vote. Endorsements from figures like term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy or Rep. Mary Peltola entering could consolidate factions and create separation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen