Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Representative Daniel Goldman in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote. The district, encompassing parts of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. Lander’s prior service as New York City Comptroller and on the City Council provided established local support, while Republican nominee Jennifer Moore advanced without primary opposition but maintains limited fundraising and visibility ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors align with current trader consensus pricing Lander near 98 percent. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day.